甘肃省农业可持续发展的主要障碍因素分析

运用多元统计学中的主成分分析法对甘肃省农业可持续发展障碍因素进行了定量分析,结果表明影响甘肃省农业可持续发展的主要因素有:政府财政对农业投入的比重、每万人拥有的农业技术人员数、第一产业从业人数比重、自然灾害成灾率、人均粮食产量、农业产投比、用于农业基本建设的投入.要促进和实现甘肃省农业可持续发展应继续增加对农业的资金投入,尤其要加大对科技教育、生态环境和农业基本建设的投入,以提高农业的科技含量和增强抵御自然灾害的能力;同时要下大力气控制农村人口增长,营造良好的农业可持续发展的政策与制度环境.

Analysis on main obstacles to agricultural sustainable development in Gansu Province

Using the principal component analysis of ploystatistics,the main obstacles to agricultural sustainable development in Gansu Province were quantitatively analized.The results indicated that there were seven factors hindering agricultural sustainable development of Gansu Province,including the proportion of governal financial for agricultural investment,agricultural technical personnel number per ten thousand people,proportion of employees in the primary industry,causing disaster rate of natural disasters,per capita grain yield,agricultural output/input ratio and investment in agricultural capital construction.In view of the above-mentioned conditions,the authors suggested that in order to promote and realize agricultural sustainable development of Gansu Province,the further investment in agriculture,especially in in the fields of science and technology,education,ecological environment construction as well as agricultural capital construction,should be increased,with the aims of enhancing the technology content in agricultural production and strengthening the resistance to natural disasters.Meanwhile,great efforts should be exerted to control the growth of rural population and create a favourable environment for agricultural sustainable development in policy and institution.