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西宁地区雷暴天气分析及预报方法研究
引用本文:刘仙婵,保广裕.西宁地区雷暴天气分析及预报方法研究[J].青海农林科技,2011(4):4-7.
作者姓名:刘仙婵  保广裕
作者单位:1. 民航西北空管局气象中心,陕西西安,710082
2. 青海省气象台,青海西宁,810001
摘    要:本文利用1981—2008年夏季(5—10月)西宁地区4个气象站的雷暴天气资料,分析了西宁地区雷暴天气的时空分布特征以及造成雷暴天气的环流形势与影响系统。为提高西宁地区雷电预报准确率,从天气学、统计学和能量天气学方面进行了研究,探索出了一套简单实用的预报指标和预报方法,建立了西宁地区雷暴天气动态分析和预报服务系统。

关 键 词:夏季雷暴  时空分布特征  影响系统  预报方法  西宁地区

Study on the Thunderstorm Weather Analysis and Its Forecast Method over Xining Region
LIU Xian-chan,BAO Guang-yu.Study on the Thunderstorm Weather Analysis and Its Forecast Method over Xining Region[J].Science and Technology of Qinghai Agriculture and Forestry,2011(4):4-7.
Authors:LIU Xian-chan  BAO Guang-yu
Institution:LIU Xian-chan1,BAO Guang-yu2(1.Meteorological Centre of Air Traffic Control Bureau of Northwestern Civil Aviation,Xian Shanxi 710082 China,2.Qinghai Meteorological Observatory,Xining Qinghai 810001,China)
Abstract:Based on the thunderstorm weather data of summer season data from May to October in 1981-2008 of four meteorological observatory over Xining region,the timespace distribution characteristics and circulation situation and impact system caused by thunderstorm weather over Xining region is analyzed.To impove thunder forecasting accuracy,a set of simple and practical forecasting index and forecasting method is explored through the study of synoptic meteorology and statistics as well as energy synoptics,and thun...
Keywords:Summer thunderstorm  Timespace distribution characteristic  Impact system  Forecast method  Xining region  
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