2008-2015年橡胶蜂蜜产量与气候的相关性分析

为了进一步发掘橡胶林区潜在经济价值,预测下一年橡胶泌蜜规律,试验采用连续8年记录转地到西双版纳傣族自治州采集橡胶蜜的蜂场收获蜂蜜情况,并以气象观测仪记录当时的气象变化的方法。表明进入橡胶场地的蜂群势变化不大[(13.450±0.113)脾,P=0.854],但产量变化显著[(72.613±0.349) kg,P <0.01]。气象观测表明气温8年内波动范围不大,而降雨量波动大,表现为2011年洪涝出现早,2014年干旱持续时间长。产量与日平均气温(相关系数r=0.337)有极显著的正相关性,与日降雨量(相关系数r=-0.269)及日最低气温(相关系数r=-0.483)呈极显著的负相关,与群势表现出轻微的负相关(相关系数r=-0.031)。说明持续的干旱和温暖湿热的气温及合理的群势能够增加橡胶蜜的产量,适宜的气候及大面积橡胶林区蕴含着巨大的养蜂潜力。

The Correlation Analysis between Rubber Tree Honey Yield and Climate Change from 2008 to 2015

In order to explore the further potential economic value of rubber woodland to predict the nectar secretions next year.We recorded 8 years the rubber honey yield of transferred apiary on the Xishuangbanna County,and analyzed the correlation with climate by meteorological recorder.The populations of transferred apiary was stable[(13.450±0.113)comb,=0.854],by contrast,the yield changed dramatically[(72.613±0.349)kg,<0.01].The meteorological recorder showed that although temperature varied slowly on 2008-2015,the rainfall fluctuated severely which floods come early on the 2011 and drought lasted for a long period on the 2014.Yield had a positive correlation with mean daily temperature(r=0.337),contrast with mean daily rainfall(r=-0.269)and low daily temperature(r=-0.483)as well as colony population(r=-0.031)had an significant negative correlations.Lasting drought and stable temperature with fitting colony population increased the rubber tree honey yield and it has enormous potential value for rubber woodland with pleasant climate and large scale.