| 基于CMS模型的中国对俄罗斯农产品出口贸易变动分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 籍丹宁,曲丽华.基于CMS模型的中国对俄罗斯农产品出口贸易变动分析[J].安徽农业科学,2017,45(32):221-223,234. |
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| 作者姓名： | 籍丹宁 曲丽华 |
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| 作者单位： | 黑龙江科技大学,黑龙江哈尔滨,150022;哈尔滨海关,黑龙江哈尔滨,150001 |
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| 基金项目： | 黑龙江省哲学社会科学研究规划项目 |
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| 摘 要： | 通过分析中国对俄罗斯农产品出口贸易的总量和结构特征,运用CMS模型实证分析中国对俄农产品出口变动的影响因素。结果表明,第一阶段(2008—2013年),中国对俄罗斯农产品出口增长的主导因素是增长效应;第二阶段(2014—2016年),综合竞争力效应是出口增长的主导因素,增长效应和动态交叉效应起了明显的阻碍作用。
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| 关 键 词： | CMS模型 农产品出口 中国 俄罗斯 |
Analysis of Fluctuation Factors of China to Russian Agriculture Products Export Based on CMS Model |
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| Abstract: | The export volume and structural features of Chinese agriculture products to Russian were analyzed.The factors influencing Chinese agricultural products export to Russian were studied by CMS model.The results showed that the dominant factor in agricultural products export growth of China to Russian was the growth effect in the first phrase (2008-2013);in the second stage(2014-2016),the comprehensive competitiveness effect was the dominant factor of export growth,and the growth effect and the dynamic cross effect played an obvious hindering role. |
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| Keywords: | CMS model Agriculture products export China Russian |
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