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艾比湖流域绿洲稳定性研究
引用本文:毋兆鹏. 艾比湖流域绿洲稳定性研究[J]. 干旱区资源与环境, 2008, 22(6): 44-50
作者姓名:毋兆鹏
作者单位:新疆师范大学地理科学与旅游学院地理系,乌鲁木齐,830054;华东师范大学资源与环境科学学院地理系,上海,200062
基金项目:新疆师范大学校科研和教改项目
摘    要:
20世纪50年代以来,艾比湖流域绿洲荒漠化过程加剧,绿洲萎缩,稳定性严重失衡。由于绿洲是一个典型的灰色系统。因此,文章在探讨了基于水资源、土壤资源和植被资源表征下艾比湖流域绿洲稳定性变化机理的基础上,利用灰色系统理论的方法对绿洲稳定性的驱动机制进行了研究,诊断并分析了各影响因子在不同表征下对绿洲稳定性的贡献作用大小。结果表明:绿洲内外过度的人为活动是稳定性变化的主导驱动因素,为拓展绿洲学研究的新思路提供了有益的探索。

关 键 词:艾比湖流域  绿洲稳定性  驱动机制  灰色分析
文章编号:1003-7578(2008)06-044-07
修稿时间:2007-03-20

Analysis on the Oasis Stability of Aibi Lake Watershed,Xinjiang
WU Zhao-peng. Analysis on the Oasis Stability of Aibi Lake Watershed,Xinjiang[J]. Journal of Arid Land Resources and Environment, 2008, 22(6): 44-50
Authors:WU Zhao-peng
Abstract:
Aibi Lake watershed is a representative region during the process of eco-environmental change in Zhungaer basin.Its rapid desertification since the 1950s,have caused of oasis area decrease and unstability.Because oasis is a typical grey system,so the driving mechanism of oasis stability was researched by grey system theory based on water resources,soil resources and vegetationresources.How the impact factors effected the oasis stability was analyzed by grey analysis.The results indicated that the change of oasis stability was due to many factors,but the human activities in and outside the oasis leaded the first.
Keywords:Aibi Lake watershed  oasis stability  driving mechanism  grey analysis
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