| 外来有害生物适生性研究方法及需要注意的若干问题 |
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| 引用本文： | 周国梁,李尉民,印丽萍.外来有害生物适生性研究方法及需要注意的若干问题[J].植物检疫,2006(Z1). |
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| 作者姓名： | 周国梁 李尉民 印丽萍 |
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| 作者单位： | [1]上海出入境检验检疫局 [2]中国检验检疫科学研究院 [3]200135 |
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| 基金项目： | 上海市重大科研项目(03DZ19315)，国家质检总局科技项目(编号2004ZK125) |
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| 摘 要： | 在分析利用生态位技术结合气候统计学方法及利用试验数据建立预测模型评估开展有害生物适生性研究的大量文献的基础上,本文详细讨论了在有害生物适生性研究中涉及的有关有害生物生物学资料的评估与分析、有害生物分布点的选择及预测结果的准确性等问题。认为有害生物的生物学特性及地理学的资料在研究有害生物适生性方面具有十分重要的作用。从统计学角度探讨了提高适生性预测结果正确性的途径。
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| 关 键 词： | 有害生物 适生性 不确定性 评估 |
Methods of assessment of pest potential establishment and some key points on research of establishment |
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| Zhou Guoliang,Li Weimin,Yin Liping.Methods of assessment of pest potential establishment and some key points on research of establishment[J].Plant Quarantine,2006(Z1). |
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| Authors: | Zhou Guoliang Li Weimin Yin Liping |
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| Institution: | Zhou Guoliang~1,Li Weimin~2,Yin Liping~1 |
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| Abstract: | Some key points on pest establishment researches such as review of pest biology,site selection of pest distribution and accuracy of prediction are discussed after analysis a great amount of information on forecast of pest establishment by using niche technology combining bio-climatology or using forecast models established based on research data. It considers that the pest biological characteristics and its geographic information are important to prediction of pest potential establishment area. It also discusses the way to enhance the accuracy of forecast using theory of statistics. |
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| Keywords: | Pest potential establishment uncertainty assessment |
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