生态型驱动力下土地利用变化对农户福祉的影响研究

根据农户调研数据,运用AHP层次分析法和相关系数法定量分析南京市锁石村的土地利用变化在由经济社会驱动力主导向生态保护驱动力转变过程中,经济、社会关系、安全和环境4项福祉因素层各项指标的变化浮动。结果表明:土地利用变化驱动力转变时,经济指标对福祉的贡献率略降低0.095,而生态环境保护指标的重要性则升高0.282;锁石村总福祉增长7.0%,其中经济福祉、环境福祉增加2.6%和9.4%,社会关系福祉和安全福祉降低7.4%和2.3%,降低福祉的68.7%是源于食品安全满意度减少。土地利用变化在提高经济水平、维持生态系统服务功能中要保障自留地减少时商品化粮食安全。

The Impact of Land Use Change on Farmers' Welfare under Ecological Driving Force

According to the household survey data,with the methods of analytic hierarchy process and correlation coefficient method,we quantitatively analyzed the process of land use change under the driving force from economy and policy to ecology in Suoshi Village in Nanjing,the impact on each index in four farmers'' welfare elements including economic,social relations,safety and environment were explored.The results showed that when the driving forces of land use change shifting,the correlation coefficient of economic indicators to the welfare was slightly reduced by 0.095,and the contribution rate of ecological environmental protection index increased by 0.282;the total welfare in Suoshi village growth rate to 7.0%,in detail,economic welfare,environmental welfare increased by 2.6% and 9.4%,social relations welfare and safety and welfare decreased by 7.4% and 2.3%,68.7% decrease of material benefits depended on the food safety satisfaction.The land use change should not only improve the economic level and maintain ecosystem services,but also guarantee food security in the situation of the decrease of the private plot.