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广西森林资源结构的动态预测及分析评价
引用本文:韦启忠,曾伟生.广西森林资源结构的动态预测及分析评价[J].中南林业调查规划,1999(2).
作者姓名:韦启忠  曾伟生
作者单位:广西林业勘测设计院!南宁市,530011(韦启忠),国家林业局中南院!长沙市,410014(曾伟生)
摘    要:森林资源结构的动态变化预测,是制定林业发展长远规划和林业经营方针政策的基础,也是优化林种结构、实现宏观调控的科学依据。应用马尔科夫过程理论,通过广西近两期“连清”材料,建立了马尔科夫模型,预测分析广西森林资源结构变化趋势,为广西林业宏现决策提供科学依据。

关 键 词:森林资源结构  预测  马尔科夫过程

Dynamic Prediction and Analytic Assessment on Forest Resource Structure of Guangxi
Wei Qizhong.Dynamic Prediction and Analytic Assessment on Forest Resource Structure of Guangxi[J].Central South Forest Inventory and Planning,1999(2).
Authors:Wei Qizhong
Abstract:Dynamic prediction on forest resource structure is the foundation of long-term planning forforestry development and policymarking for forestry management, and also the scientitic basis of optimixing forest category sturcture and implementing macro regulation and control. In this paper, based on Markovprocess theory, a Markov model is established by using th CFI sample plots of nearest two occasions inGuangxi which can be used to predict and to analyse the development trend of forest resource structureand to provide the scientific basis for macro forestry policy-making in Guangxi.
Keywords:forest resource structure prediction Markov process
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