| 用灰色系统GM(1,1)模型预报橡胶产量 |
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| 引用本文： | 高素华.用灰色系统GM(1,1)模型预报橡胶产量[J].热带作物学报,1987(1). |
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| 作者姓名： | 高素华 |
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| 作者单位： | 国家气象局气象科学研究院 |
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| 摘 要： | 本文采用灰色系统GM(1,1)模型,利用海南岛1971——1979年民营橡胶产量资料,建立橡胶产量预报摸型。文中比较详细的介绍了灰色GM(1,1)模型的建模过程和具体步骤。实践表明,该模型简便、不受样本数量的限制,预报精度较高,是一种新的预测方法。
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| 关 键 词： | 灰色系统GM(1 1)模型 橡胶 产量预测 |
APPLICATION OF THE GREY SYSTEM GM (1,1) MODEL TO RUBBER YIELD PREDICTION |
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| Gao Suhua.APPLICATION OF THE GREY SYSTEM GM (1,1) MODEL TO RUBBER YIELD PREDICTION[J].Chinese Journal of Tropical Crops,1987(1). |
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| Authors: | Gao Suhua |
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| Abstract: | Based on the data on rubber production in Hainan Island, the grey system GM (1,1)model has been set up for predicting rubber yield. Procedures and steps of the model establisment are described in detail. It has been proved that the new method of rubber yield prediction is simple and precise and its use is not restricted by the number of samples. |
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| Keywords: | grey system GM(1 1)model Hevea brasiliensis yield prediction |
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