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1978-2011年财政教育投入与经济增长的协整分析
引用本文:申建良,冉启英,陈彤.1978-2011年财政教育投入与经济增长的协整分析[J].河北农业大学学报(农林教育版),2013(6):5-9.
作者姓名:申建良  冉启英  陈彤
作者单位:[1]新疆农业大学经贸学院,新疆乌鲁木齐830042 [2]新疆大学经贸学院,新疆乌鲁木齐830049 [3]新疆农业科学院,新疆乌鲁木齐830049
摘    要:利用协整理论和误差修正模型(ECM),对我国1978-2011年间财政教育投入与经济增长关系进行定量分析。结果表明:两者之间存在着长期协整关系,即财政教育投入每增长1%,长期国民经济将有0.330 347%的增长,但从短期来看,财政教育投入对经济增长的影响不显著。经济增长需要通过长期的包括政府财政在内的多渠道教育投入来实现。

关 键 词:财政教育投入  经济增长  协整分析  误差修正模型

Co-integration analysis of financial education investment and economic growth (1978-2011)
SHEN Jian-liang,RAN Qi-ying,CHEN Tong.Co-integration analysis of financial education investment and economic growth (1978-2011)[J].Journal of Agricultural University of Hebei,2013(6):5-9.
Authors:SHEN Jian-liang  RAN Qi-ying  CHEN Tong
Institution:1. Economy and Trade College, Xinjiang Agricultural University, Urumqi 830042, China; 2. Economy and Management Department, Xinjiang University, Urumqi 830049, China 3. Xinjiang Academy of Agricultural Sciences, Urumqi 830091, China)
Abstract:Quantitative analysis on the relationship between financial education investmentt and economic growth from 1978 to 2011 was conducted using the theory of Co-integration and ECM. The result showed there is a long-term co-integration relationship between the two, while financial education investment increases 1%, the long-term GDP will be increased by 0. 330347%. However, in the short term, the influence is not significant as economic growth re- quires long-term multi-channel education investment including government finance.
Keywords:financial education investment  economic growth  Co-integration Analysis  ErrorCorrection Model
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