| 基于GIS和元胞自动机的土地利用/覆盖变化模拟——以滇西北香格里拉县为例 |
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| 引用本文： | 卢鹏,岳彩荣,冯水琴,任健,岑纲,禄鑫.基于GIS和元胞自动机的土地利用/覆盖变化模拟——以滇西北香格里拉县为例[J].东北林业大学学报,2011(10):84-89. |
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| 作者姓名： | 卢鹏 岳彩荣 冯水琴 任健 岑纲 禄鑫 |
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| 作者单位： | 贵州省林业调查规划院;西南林业大学;贵阳云岩双吉科技服务有限公司;人民银行榆林市中心支行; |
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| 基金项目： | 西南林业大学重点基金项目(200503Z) |
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| 摘 要： | 选取林地面积减少较为严重的滇西北香格里拉县为例,对研究区的土地利用变化驱动机制进行了分析,并集合GIS技术,尝试运用元胞自动机理论构建Loit模型对研究区的土地利用空间格局进行了模拟和预测.模拟的Kappa指数为0.79,表明CA模型在土地利用/覆盖变化的预测方面有巨大优势.
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| 关 键 词： | 香格里拉 元胞自动机 土地利用/覆盖变化 GIS |
Simulation of Land Use/Cover Change Based on GIS and Cellular Automata Model: A Case Study of Shangri-La County in Northwest Yunnan Province |
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| Lu Peng,Yue Cairong,Feng Shuiqin,Ren Jian,Cen Gang,Lu Xin.Simulation of Land Use/Cover Change Based on GIS and Cellular Automata Model: A Case Study of Shangri-La County in Northwest Yunnan Province[J].Journal of Northeast Forestry University,2011(10):84-89. |
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| Authors: | Lu Peng Yue Cairong Feng Shuiqin Ren Jian Cen Gang Lu Xin |
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| Institution: | Lu Peng(Guizhou Institute of Forestry Inventory and Panning,Guiyang 550003,P.R.China),Yue Cairong(Southwest Forestry University),Feng Shuiqin(Shuangji Technology Services Limited Company of Guiyang),Ren Jian(PBC Yulin Sub-Branch),Cen Gang,Lu Xin(Guizhou Institute of Forestry Inventory and Planning) |
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| Abstract: | A study was conducted to analyze the land-use change-driven mechanism of forest land in Shangri-La County,northwest Yunnan Province,where the forest land area decreased more seriously.The spatial pattern of land use in the study area was simulated and predicted by GIS technology and the Logit Model obtained from the cellular automata theory.The kappa index of the simulation was 0.79,indicating that the cellular automata model has more advantages in the simulation of Land use/cover change. |
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| Keywords: | Shangri-La Cellular automata Land use/cover change GIS |
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