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R-T组合预测模型的建立及其在耕整机发展预测上的应用
引用本文:王大承,贺树云.R-T组合预测模型的建立及其在耕整机发展预测上的应用[J].湖南农业大学学报(自然科学版),1991(4).
作者姓名:王大承  贺树云
作者单位:湖南农学院农业工程系 长沙 (王大承),湖南农学院农业工程系 长沙(贺树云)
摘    要:回归预测技术应用广泛,方法理论较成熟;时间序列分析则是经济模型构造的进一步研究方向。实际应用中,两种方法都有局限性。作为这两者的组合,本文详细阐述了回归-时序(R-T)组合预测模型的建立,并用之对耕整机的发展作了科学的预测。

关 键 词:耕整地机具  时间序列分析  回归分析  建立模型  预测

ESTABLISHMENT OF REGRESSION-TIME SERIES (R-T) COMBINATION FORECASTING MODEL AND ITS APPLICATION IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF PADDY FIELD TILLAGE MACHINES
Wang Dacheng,He Shuyun,.ESTABLISHMENT OF REGRESSION-TIME SERIES (R-T) COMBINATION FORECASTING MODEL AND ITS APPLICATION IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF PADDY FIELD TILLAGE MACHINES[J].Journal of Hunan Agricultural University,1991(4).
Authors:Wang Dacheng  He Shuyun  
Abstract:The technigue of regression forecast is widely used and its theoryis fairly well developed. Analysis of time series method is the further researchdirection in establishment of an economic model; however both methods havetheir limited practical applications, and as a combination of the two methods,(R-T) combination forecasting model is described in detail in its establishment.The result of forecasting by using this model in the development of paddy fieldtillage machines is sotifactory.
Keywords:tillage equipments  time series analysis  regression analysis  predictions  model building
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