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棉花气象预报服务系统
引用本文:葛徽衍,张永红,肖科丽,杜毓龙,李兆元.棉花气象预报服务系统[J].中国农业气象,2000,21(3):15-18.
作者姓名:葛徽衍  张永红  肖科丽  杜毓龙  李兆元
作者单位:1. 陕西省棉花气象服务台,渭南 714000
2. 渭南市气象局
3. 陕西省气象科学研究所
摘    要:棉花气象预防服务系统是棉花气象预报多种统计方法的综合集成,贴近大田的棉花生产管理专家系统设计思想,是面向用户的棉花气象信息服务设计思想三位一体的综合决策计算系统。本系统由数据库、方法库、指标库、对策库、推理模块、预报产品制作 生成模块构成棉花气象预报及生产管理分系统,由棉花生产历史信息,当前棉情信息、未来预测信息,棉花生产管理对策信息和其它有关信息构成咨询信息分系统,为系统应用人员提供良好的综合决策环境,经过4年的实际运用,提高了棉花气象决策服务的水平,取得了显著的社会、经济效益。

关 键 词:棉花  气象预报  生产管理  决策支持
文章编号:1000-6362(2000)03-0015-04
修稿时间:1999年2月8日

Meteorological forecast and serving system for cotton
GE Hui yan ,ZHANG Yong hong ,XIAO Ke li ,DU Yu long ,LI Zhao yuan.Meteorological forecast and serving system for cotton[J].Chinese Journal of Agrometeorology,2000,21(3):15-18.
Authors:GE Hui yan  ZHANG Yong hong  XIAO Ke li  DU Yu long  LI Zhao yuan
Institution:GE Hui yan 1,ZHANG Yong hong 1,XIAO Ke li 2,DU Yu long 2,LI Zhao yuan 3
Abstract:The system is a conbanation of many kinds of statistic methods for meteorological forecast of cotton. The design thought of the expert system is close to the cotton field production management. It is a three in one comprehensive decision making computer system, which is geared to the needs of users in cotton meteorological information service. This meteorological forecast system for cotton and the production management subsystem are consist of database, methodological database, index data base, countermeasure database, inferential module, and product forecast module. The information consultation subsystem consists of the information history of cotton production, current cotton information and the prediction of cotton production in the future, information on cotton production management and other related information. The system provides a good synthetic environment for the system users in decision making results of four years practical use showed that the service level in decision-making of cotton meteorology has been improved significantly.
Keywords:Cotton  Meteorology  Forecast  Production  Management  Strategic decision supporting  
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