| 耕地需求预测方法研究——以广西资源县为例 |
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| 引用本文： | 张晶,李江风.耕地需求预测方法研究——以广西资源县为例[J].安徽农业科学,2006,34(6):1204-1206. |
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| 作者姓名： | 张晶 李江风 |
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| 作者单位： | 中国地质大学资源学院,湖北,武汉,430074 |
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| 摘 要： | 结合广西省资源县土地利用总体规划的实践,采用粮食需求法、部门预测法和灰色预测法等几种方法进行耕地需求预测的方法研究。预测的结果不仅保证了耕地总量的动态平衡,同时保证了重点建设项目用地的需要,该研究可为土地利用总体规划的编制工作提供科学依据。
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| 关 键 词： | 耕地 需求预测 广西省资源县 |
| 文章编号： | 0517-6611（2006）06-1204-03 |
| 收稿时间： | 2005-11-17 |
| 修稿时间： | 2005-11-17 |
Study on the Forecasting Methods of the Demand of Arable Land |
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| ZHANG Jing et al.Study on the Forecasting Methods of the Demand of Arable Land[J].Journal of Anhui Agricultural Sciences,2006,34(6):1204-1206. |
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| Authors: | ZHANG Jing |
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| Institution: | Resource College, China National Geological University, Wuhan, Hubei 430074 |
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| Abstract: | The demand of arable land is the key to the general land use planning.The new planning revision focuses on the rigorous protection and the strictest use regulations.Based on the general land use planning of Ziyuan county in Guangxi Zhuang Autonomy Region,the methods of arable land prediction were discussed according to the method of provision demand,department forecast and gray forecast.The results of prediction was qualified in both the dynamic balance of farmland and the demand of key constructive projects.And the study provided a scientific guideline for the general land use planning. |
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| Keywords: | Arable land Demand forecast method Ziyuan county |
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