作物产量灰色马尔柯夫链预测模型

以黑龙江垦区１９４９－１９９２年小麦单产资料为例，用灰色系统ＧＭ（１，１）动态预测模拟和预测趋势产量，用马尔柯夫链动态预测模型预报气象产量，从而组合一套完整的作特意一灰色马尔柯夫链预测模型。以此模型对黑龙江垦区小麦单进行预测，其结果均怀实况基本相符。

Grey Markov Forecasting Model of Crop Yield

Using the data of unit area yield of wheat from 1949 to 1992 of the general reclamation Bureau of Heilongjiang Province, trend yield was simulated and forecasted with Grey System GM(1,1) Tendency Forecasting Model, meteorological yield was forecasted with Markov Tendency Forecasting Model, and a complete Grey Markov Forecasting Model of Crop Yield was combined thereby. The unit area yield of wheat of The General Reclamation Bureau of Heilongjiang Province was forecasted by the model. the result was basically consistent with the actualities.