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四川盆地小麦生育期预报方法研究与应用
引用本文:张玉芳,王明田,游超.四川盆地小麦生育期预报方法研究与应用[J].江西植保,2013(4):438-442.
作者姓名:张玉芳  王明田  游超
作者单位:四川省农业气象中心,四川成都610072
基金项目:四川省盆地区水稻旱灾风险转移技术研究(川气课题-2012-开发-06)和四川省气象局重点课题(川气课题2011-预研-01)
摘    要:对全省盆地区22个农气观测站小麦各生育期的观测资料、各地海拔经纬度及影响小麦生长发育速度的因子进行分析,建立小麦生育期预报模式,根据所建立的模型对未来天气进行预报,可实现实时动态预报小麦生育期。

关 键 词:四川盆地  小麦  生育期  预报模式

Preliminary Study of Forecast Methods of Wheat Growth Periods in Sichuan Basin
ZHANG Yu-fang,WANG Ming-tian,YOU Chao.Preliminary Study of Forecast Methods of Wheat Growth Periods in Sichuan Basin[J].Jiangxi Plant Protection,2013(4):438-442.
Authors:ZHANG Yu-fang  WANG Ming-tian  YOU Chao
Institution:(The Agro-meteorological Center of Sichuan, Chengdu 610072, China)
Abstract:Base on the observation data from 22 agro-meteorological observatories in the whole basin areas of this province, this paper made an analysis of regional altitude, longitude, latitude and other influential factors of the growth rate of wheat, and built the prediction model of wheat growth periods. Meanwhile, by combining the future trend of weather situation, this model could be used to implement the rcabtime dynamic forecast of wheat growth periods.
Keywords:Sichuan Basin  wheat  growth period  prediction model
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