我国城乡居民消费差异-基于四变量误差修正模型的实证分析

利用中国1991—2008年时间序列数据,分析中国城镇和农村地区居民消费差异,所使用的分析方法包括ADF平稳性检验,协整检验以及四变量误差修正模型,Chow检验。分析结果表明,中国城镇和农村地区同时存在消费与收入的长期均衡关系,消费物价水平的上升及政府补贴政策对提高城乡居民收入弹性有间接的正向效应,其中对城镇居民收入弹性的正向效应大于农村居民,另外城乡居民的消费行为存在结构稳定性。

An empirical study of consumption difference between urban and rural Areas-based on error correction model of four variables

This paper applying time series data from1991 to 2008 to analyze the consumption difference between urban and rural areas,Statistical analysis methods,such as Almon distributed lag procedure,ADF unit root stationary test and co integration test theory,Error Correction Model of Four Variables;Chow Test,Chow Test.Analysis results showed that the long-term stable and balanced relation between the income and the consumption in urban and rural areas.The vary consumer prices level and government subsidies policie...