中国城乡居民羊肉消费基本特征及影响因素分析

对中国城乡居民羊肉消费的基本特征进行分析,并建立双对数模型,实证分析收入、价格和饮食习惯对羊肉消费量的影响。研究结果表明,中国羊肉消费量尽管有所上升,但是同发达国家相比仍有差距,并且在城镇和农村,不同地区、不同收入组之间存在很大差异。城镇居民羊肉消费量主要受收入、羊肉价格、牛肉价格和猪肉价格的影响,而农村居民羊肉消费量受羊肉价格和上一期羊肉消费量影响更为显著。最后对中国居民羊肉消费进行了展望。

Characteristics and Influence Factors of Mutton Consumption of China＇s Urban and Rural Residents

This paper analyzed basic characteristics of mutton consumption of China＇s urban and rural residents, then established individual double logarithm model to analyze the influences of income, prices and dietary habits to mutton consumption. The results were showed as following, although China＇s mutton consumption has increased, there was still a gap compared to developed countries and a big difference between different income groups and different regions in urban and rural areas. Mutton consumption of urban residents was mainly affected by income, mutton price and prices of beef and pork, while rural residents＇ consumption was more significantly affected by mutton price and last phase of mutton consumption. Finally, mutton consumption of China＇s residents was prospected.