Developments in prediction theories of the effective size of populations under selection

The effective population size is a key parameter in the definition of selection programs, because the magnitude of this parameter determines both the rate of inbreeding and the amount of genetic drift in the population. Prediction of the effective size of selected populations is complicated by the fact that selection has a cumulative effect on the effective size. In the present article, two basic approaches to predict the effective size of populations under selection were summarized, and the interrelation among them was clarified. Several extensions to practical situations relevant to animal breeding, such as non‐random mating, index selection and marker‐assisted selection, were also reviewed.