退耕和禁牧影响下宁夏原州区畜牧经济的灰色关联分析

分析了原州区退耕和禁牧前后近10 a畜牧业的发展情况和农民收益及牧业收入情况。对比发现,畜牧业收入的增幅高于农民纯收入的增幅,原州区畜牧业在农业总产值中的比重不断上升,在促进农民增收和国民经济增长中的作用不断增强。应用灰色关联度分析的结果进一步表明,饲料、人工、资金、技术投入的增多,以及政策的扶持使该区畜牧经济影响因子的关联度出现了较大变动。

Gray-relation Analysis of Animal Husbandry Economy Influenced by Cropland Conversion and Grazing Prohibition in Yuanzhou District of Ningxia Region

The situations of animal husbandry development and farmer income and the income from animal husbandry before and after the changes of ecological polices in the Yuanzhou District of Ningxia Hui Autonous Region in the recent ten years are analyzed with gray-relation analysis method.Analyses indicate that the relative growth of the income from animal husbandry is higher than that of the net farmer income.The proportion of the income from animal husbandry to the total agricultural output rises increasingly.The functions of promoting farmer income and national economy growth have been strengthened.The gray-relation analysis method is applied to the study of the main factors influencing animal husbandry economic system.Results further show that the increased inputs of feed,labor,fund,technology and policy support bring the greater changes in the correlation factors affecting animal husbandry economic system.The changes are analyzed separately.