农村金融发展与农民收入增长关系的实证分析——以1995~2009年河北省为例 |
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引用本文: | 王文青,乔立娟,王秀芳. 农村金融发展与农民收入增长关系的实证分析——以1995~2009年河北省为例[J]. 安徽农业科学, 2012, 0(13): 7971-7973 |
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作者姓名: | 王文青 乔立娟 王秀芳 |
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作者单位: | 河北农业大学经济贸易学院,河北保定07100l |
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基金项目: | 2010年河北省社会科学发展研究课题 |
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摘 要: | 基于河北省1995~2009年的数据,运用协整分析、误差修正模型等方法对河北省农村金融发展与农民收入增长的长期均衡和短期波动关系进行实证分析。研究表明:从长期来看,河北省农村贷款和农村存款对农民收入增长分别呈正相关和负相关;从短期来看,农村贷款和农村存款的增长对农民收入增长均产生负效应,并且在修正机制的作用下以10.8%的速度恢复到长期均衡。
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关 键 词: | 河北省 农村金融发展 农村资本 农民收入增长 |
Empirical Analysis on the Relationship between Rural Financial Development and Farmer' s Income Growth in Hebei Province from 1995 to 2009 |
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Affiliation: | WANG Wen-qing et al(College of Economics and Trade,Agricultural University of Hebei,Baoding,Hebei 071001) |
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Abstract: | According to the data from 1995 to 2009 in Hebei Province,the long-run equilibrium and short-term fluctuations between rural financial development and farmers’ income growth in Hebei Province were empirically analyzed through co-integration analysis and error correlation model.As indicated by the research results,the rural loans and deposits present positive and negative relations with the farmers’ income growth in a long run;while they all produce negative impact on the farmers’ income growth in a short term,and then resume to a long-run equilibrium at a rate of 10.8% under the correction mechanism. |
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Keywords: | Hebei Province Rural financial development Rural capital Farmer’s income growth |
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