| 农机总动力的预测及多种数学方法的应用比较 |
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| 引用本文： | 张海云.农机总动力的预测及多种数学方法的应用比较[J].中国农机化,2006(2):50-51,90. |
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| 作者姓名： | 张海云 |
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| 作者单位： | 青海大学农牧学院 |
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| 摘 要： | 应用多种数学方法对青海省历年的农机总动力进行了预测，取得了良好的效果。通过对这些数学方法的应用比较。分析了其中每种方法的适用范围和优缺点。为相关管理部门进行正确的决策提供了依据，并为正确选用各种数学方法进行预测具有指导意义。
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| 关 键 词： | 数学方法 灰色预测 灰色-马尔可夫预测 神经网络预测 决策 农机总动力 |
| 文章编号： | 1006-7205（2006）02-0050-02 |
| 收稿时间： | 2005-07-28 |
| 修稿时间： | 2005-07-28 |
Forecasting of Agricultural Mechanical Total Power & Application-Comparison of Multi-mathematic Methods |
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| ZHANG Hai-yun.Forecasting of Agricultural Mechanical Total Power & Application-Comparison of Multi-mathematic Methods[J].Chinese Agricul Tural Mechanization,2006(2):50-51,90. |
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| Authors: | ZHANG Hai-yun |
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| Institution: | Dept. of Animal Science, College of Agriculture and Animal Sciences, Qinghai University, Xining 810003, China |
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| Abstract: | The article has forecasted the agricultural mechanical total power of Qinghai province past years with multi-mathematic methods, and obtained good effects. By the application-comparison of these multi-mathematic methods the article analyzed the applied range, the advantages and disadvantages of every mathematic method, meanwhile it's provided the decision gist for relative management department, it's also possessed direction meaning for forecasting through choosing right mathematic method. |
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| Keywords: | mathematic method Gray forecasting Gray-Marcov forecasting neural-network forecasting decision agricultural mechanical total power |
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