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| 福建省马尾松毛虫发生与ENSO事件的关系 | |
| 引用本文： | 毕晓丽,徐永兴,洪伟,吴承祯,闫淑君.福建省马尾松毛虫发生与ENSO事件的关系[J].福建林学院学报,2003,23(1):44-47. |
| 作者姓名： | 毕晓丽 徐永兴 洪伟 吴承祯 闫淑君 |
| 作者单位： | 1. 北京师范大学生命科学学院,北京,100875 2. 将乐国有林场,福建,将乐,353300 3. 福建农林大学林学院,福建,南平,353001 |
| 基金项目： | 福建省科技厅重点科学基金资助项目(2001F007)，福建省科技厅重大攻关科学基金资助项目(2001Z025). |
| 摘 要： | 以1971～1991年(反)厄尔尼诺事件、南方涛动指数及福建省马尾松毛虫发生程度的资料为基础,探讨它们之间的关系,揭示这种关系产生的内在机制,并建立福建省马尾松毛虫发生预测预报模型.结果表明:福建省马尾松毛虫发生与(反)厄尔尼诺事件年、南方涛动指数总和变动异常年有显著关联;所建立模型精度达83.33%,可以对马尾松毛虫发生、气候异常起监测作用. |
| 关 键 词： | (反)厄尔尼诺事件 南方涛动 马尾松毛虫 预测 |
| 文章编号： | 1001-389X(2003)01-0044-04 |
| 修稿时间： | 2002年5月25日 |
Relationship Between the Occurrence of Dendrolimus punctatus in Fujian and the ENSO Events |
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| Abstract: | Based on the data of (Inverse) El Nin～o event,southern oscillation index and the \{Dendrolimus\} punctatus population level in Fujian during the last 20 years,the relationship between the ENSO events and the Dendrolimus punctatus population dynamics in Fujian was analyzedAt the same time,the cause was presentedThen,the occurrence model of the \{Dendrolimus\} punctatus WT5population in Fujian was establishedThe results showed that the (Inverse)El Nio event years and strongly varied ∑SOI years have significantly effected on the ocurrance of the Dendrolimus punctatus populationThe \{simulating\} precision of the model reached 8333%,which can be able to give an new idea for prediction of the occurrence of the Dendrolimus punctatus or the change of the climate factors |
| Keywords: | (Inverse) El Nin～o event southern oscillation Dendrolimus punctatus prediction |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 维普 万方数据 等数据库收录！ | |