基于灰色关联的隆德县退耕还林后续产业经济效益分析

根据2006～2012年的统计数据,运用灰关联分析方法,对宁夏南部山区隆德县的退耕还林（草）后续产业经济效益进行分析.结果表明,隆德县退耕还林后续产业的推进取得了较显著的经济效益,其中种植业产值与国内生产总值的关联度最大,农民人均种植农业收入与农民人均纯收入的关联度最大,这表明隆德县是以种植业为主的县域,但林业和牧业收入的关联度相对较小.最后提出了改进退耕还林后续产业可持续发展的建议.

The Gray Incidence Analysis of Economic Benefits on Follow-up Industries of the Grain for Green Project in Longde County

Based on 2006-2011 statistical data and grey correlation method,the economic benefits of follow-up industry of returning farmland to forest grass in Longde County,south mountain area of Ningxia was analyzed.The results show that the advancing of the follow-up industry obtains significant economic benefits,planting industry output associated with the gross domestic product mostly,farmers per capita planting income associated with rural per capita net income mostly,reflecting the county is predominantly planting industry county,but the correlative degree of forestry and livestock revenues is relatively small.Several suggestions for sustainable development of follow-up industry of returning farmland to forest grass were put forward.