2013年前3季度国际畜产品市场分析及展望

2013年前3季度国际畜产品市场不同肉类产品差别较大，禽肉、猪肉和牛肉产品价格小幅上涨，羊肉价格下降。不同国家畜产品价格走势也不同，美国猪肉、禽肉和羊肉价格先涨后跌，牛肉价格先跌后涨；欧盟猪肉价格先跌后涨，禽肉价格总体处于涨势，牛羊肉价格先涨后跌；日本牛肉和猪肉价格总体上涨，巴西活牛和鸡肉价格先跌后涨。受主要肉类消费市场猪肉产量增加影响，主要猪肉出口市场出口量下降。受产量预增影响，预计玉米价格将维持弱势，饲料成本下降，2013年第4季度猪肉和禽肉价格缺乏上涨支撑。

International Livestock Market Situation in the First Three Quarters of 2013 and Its Future Prospect

In the first three quarters of 2013, prices of different meat products in international livestock market showed great differences, among which, prices of broiler, pork and beef products rose slightly, while mutton price decreased. Prices showed different trends in different countries. Pork, poultry and lamb prices in America fell after beginning rising, while beef price showed opposite trend. Pork price in EU firstly decreased and then increased, while poultry price was in overall rising trend, and the beef and mutton prices showed opposite trend to pork price. The beef and pork prices in Japan showed increasing trend. Brazil＇s cattle and chicken prices ended higher after initially falling. For pork production increased in main meat consumption market, the export in main pork export markets decreased. For output increase of maize, the price will maintain weak trend and production cost will fall. In the fourth quarter of 2013, the prices of pork and poultry meat will be short of rising support.