| 气候变化对植物春季物候影响分析及模拟——以河南郑州为例 |
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| 引用本文： | 郑有飞,陈彬彬,赵国强,陈怀亮,吴荣军.气候变化对植物春季物候影响分析及模拟——以河南郑州为例[J].安徽农业科学,2007,35(16):4711-4713,4722. |
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| 作者姓名： | 郑有飞 陈彬彬 赵国强 陈怀亮 吴荣军 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 南京信息工程大学环境科学与工程学院,江苏南京,210044
2. 河南省气象局,河南郑州,450061 |
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| 基金项目： | 中国气象局预测减灾应用技术开发推广项目（CMATG2004-M21）. |
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| 摘 要： | 采用回归分析和t检验等统计学方法探讨了郑州地区1983~2004年间4种树木春季物候期的变化及其对气候变化的响应情况。结果表明:该地区年平均气温每升高1℃,春季物候期将提前1.6~13.7 d。
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| 关 键 词： | 春季物候 气候变化 回归 t检验 响应 |
| 文章编号： | 0517-6610（2007）16-04711-03 |
| 修稿时间： | 2007-02-11 |
Effect of Climate Change on Plant Spring Phenology and Its Simulation |
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| ZHENG You-fei et al.Effect of Climate Change on Plant Spring Phenology and Its Simulation[J].Journal of Anhui Agricultural Sciences,2007,35(16):4711-4713,4722. |
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| Authors: | ZHENG You-fei |
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| Abstract: | The change of tree phenology of spring-time and its response to climate change during 1983～2004 in Zhengzhou were analyzed with statistic methods such as regression analysis and t-Test.The results showed that if the annual average temperature increased 1 ℃ in the future,plant spring phenophase in Zhengzhou would advance by 1.6～13.7 days. |
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| Keywords: | Spring phenology Climate change Regression analysis t-Test Response |
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