新疆南疆棉农生产行为对土地退化影响分析

以2010年新疆南疆农户调查资料为基础,运用Logistic回归模型,对影响南疆土地退化的棉农生产行为进行研究.结果表明,棉农的文化程度、现有的棉花种植规模、作物种植模式、化肥的施用、地膜的残留、农业科技的培训与推广等因素对南疆棉田土地退化有显著影响.对此提出加大对棉农的教育与培训力度、优化棉花种植规模与模式、合理进行农资投入等措施以有效防治南疆土地退化.

Analysis on the Influence of Cotton Planters Production Behavior on Land Degradation in Southern Part in Xinjiang

The present study investigated the production behavior of cotton planters affecting land degradation by use of Logistic regression model and the materials obtained in Southern part of Xinjiang in 2010.The result showed that various factors including the educational level of cotton planters,current cotton cultivation scale,crop planting mode,the application of chemical fertilizer,the residue of plastic film and the training and population of agricultural science and technology have significant influence on land degradation of cotton field in the South Xinjiang,for which some control effective measures will be adopted such as energizing the education and training of cotton planters,optimizing the scale and mode of cotton cultivation,reasonably applying chemical fertilizer and agricultural resources will be input including cotton film in order to effectively control the land degradation in the South Xinjiang.