枣疯病入侵新疆的风险分析

[目的]枣疯病是我国枣树的严重病害之一,依据预防为主的基本原则进行综合评估,得出枣疯病传入新疆的风险等级,并提出相应的管理对策.[方法]通过定性因素和定量指标体系相结合的方法对枣疯病进行风险评估.[结果]枣疯病的危险性综合评价值为2.69,属于特别危险性林业有害生物.一旦传入流行将给新疆枣产业发展带来很大的经济损失.[结论]加强进境检疫管理是目前抵御其传入风险的有效措施.此外,还应加强枣园管理,增强树势,开展综合防治.

Risk Analysis of Mycoplasma-like-organism on Red Dates in Xinjiang

【Objective】 Mycoplasma-like-organism was the most dangerous pest on red dates.Comprehensive assessment of it depends on the principle of prevention.Basing on it,the study classified risk grade of MLO that was introduced into Xinjiang,and put forward corresponding management strategies.【Method】The method of qualitative factor combined with quantitative index system was applied to assess the risk of MLO.【Result】The assessment result showed that evaluation of MLO was 2.69,belonging to special fatal and harmful biology.It will bring huge economic loss to red dates production once MLO is widely spread in Xinjiang.【Conclusion】 Strengthening the quarantine management will be an effective measure to resist MLO.Besides,reinforcing the management of red date orchards,improving trees vigor and developing synthesis prevention and cure are the important measures for us to take.