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大足鼠RatusnitidusHodgson的数量预测研究
引用本文:倪健英,蒋光藻. 大足鼠RatusnitidusHodgson的数量预测研究[J]. 西南大学学报(自然科学版), 1996, 0(6)
作者姓名:倪健英  蒋光藻
作者单位:四川省农科院植保所
摘    要:
】大足鼠6月和10月高峰期的数量与上年3月的种群数量、性比和年龄结构有关。本文建立了线性回归,逐步回归和模糊相关的关系式。其中,模糊相关模型能最好地拟合原始数据,可作为预报手段

关 键 词:大足鼠;预测;模糊模型;回归分析

A STUDY ON THE FORECASTING OF THE POPULATION DENSITY OF RATTUS NITIDUS
Ni Jianying, Jiang Guangzao. A STUDY ON THE FORECASTING OF THE POPULATION DENSITY OF RATTUS NITIDUS[J]. Journal of southwest university (Natural science edition), 1996, 0(6)
Authors:Ni Jianying   Jiang Guangzao
Abstract:
Surveys were made in six successive years of the population of Rattus nitidus. Analysis of the data showed that its population density in June and October was associated with the population density, Sexual ratio and age structure of the animal in the spring (January to March) of the previous year. Mathematical models of linear regression, stepwise regression and fuzzy correlation were established, of which fuzzy correlation model fitted the original data best and is recommended in the forecasting of the fluctuation of the population density of R.nitidus.
Keywords:Rattus nitidus Hodgson  predictions  fuzzy models  regression analysis
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