Water and air temperature impacts on rice (<Emphasis Type="Italic">Oryza sativa</Emphasis>) phenology

Air temperature (T_a) is commonly used for modeling rice phenology. However, since the growing point of rice is under water during the vegetative and the early part of the reproductive period, water temperature (T_w) is likely to have a greater influence on crop developmental rates than T_a during this period. To test this hypothesis, we monitored T_w, T_a, and crop phenology in three commercial irrigated rice fields in California, USA. Sampling locations were set up on along a transect from the water inlet into the field. (Water warms up as it moves into the field.) T_a averaged 22.7 °C across sampling locations within each field, but average seasonal T_w increased from 22 °C near the inlet to 23.4 °C furthest away from the inlet. Relative to T_w furthest from the inlet, low T_w near the inlet delayed time to panicle initiation (PI 5 days) and heading (HD 8 days) and the appearance of one yellow hull on the main stem panicle (R7 9 days). Using T_w instead of T_a when the active growing point is under water until booting (midway between PI and HD) in a thermal time model improved accuracy (root-mean-square error, RMSE) for predicting time to PI by 2.5 days and HD by 1.6 days and R7 by 1.8 days. This model was further validated under more typical field conditions (i.e., not close to cold water inlets) in six locations in California. Under these conditions, average T_w was 2.6 °C higher than T_a between planting and booting, primarily due to higher daily maximum T_w values. Using T_w in the model until booting improved RMSE by 1.2 days in predicting time to HD. Using T_w instead of T_a during this period could improve the accuracy of rice phenology models.