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桔小实蝇传入中国风险的定量分析
引用本文:黄振,黄可辉. 桔小实蝇传入中国风险的定量分析[J]. 江西农业学报, 2008, 20(8): 61-62
作者姓名:黄振  黄可辉
作者单位:福建出入境检验检疫局,福建,福州,350001;海南大学,研究生院,海南,海口,570228;福建出入境检验检疫局,福建,福州,350001
基金项目:福建省科技厅科研项目,福建科技重大专项专题
摘    要:按照PRA准则,采用多指标综合评估方法来计算桔小实蝇传入中国的风险程度,确定了各指标的评判标准和等级,建立了其一、二级评判标准的计算模型,计算出桔小实蝇危险性综合评价的风险值R为2.33,表明桔小实蝇属于高风险的外来有害生物。据此提出了对桔小实蝇进行风险性管理的相关对策。

关 键 词:桔小实蝇  风险分析  计算模型  多指标综合评估方法

Risk Quantitative Analysis for Introduction of Bactrocera dorsalis(Hendel)to China
HUANG Zhen,HUANG Ke-hui. Risk Quantitative Analysis for Introduction of Bactrocera dorsalis(Hendel)to China[J]. Acta Agriculturae Jiangxi, 2008, 20(8): 61-62
Authors:HUANG Zhen  HUANG Ke-hui
Affiliation:HUANG Zhen,HUANG Ke-hui(1.Fujian Entry-Exit Inspection and Quarantine Bureau,Fuzhou 350001,China; 2.Graduate School of Hainan University,Haikou 570228,China)
Abstract:According to pest risk analysis rule,the risk degree of introduction of Bactrocera dorsalis(Hendel) to China was calculated to establish the criterion and grade in every index by using comprehensive multi-criterion estimation.Calculation model for judging the first grade and the second grade criterion estimation was established on the basis of its criterion of PRA assessment and quantitative analysis.The comprehensive estimation risk value was 2.33.Therefore,Bactrocera dorsalis(Hendel) was high risk exotic harmful organism.At the same time,the risk management for controlling Bactrocera dorsalis(Hendel) was also discussed in this paper.
Keywords:Bactrocera dorsalis(Hendel)  Risk analysis  Calculation model  Multi-criterion estimation
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