基于CMS模型的中国大豆进口增长影响因素分析

文章运用恒定市场份额模型（CMS）,分析了中国大豆进口不断增长的各影响因素及各因素对进口增速的贡献率.现阶段,国内外学者对于中国大豆进口增长的研究主要集中于定性的因素分析,在借鉴国内外学者研究成果的基础之上,通过CMS模型定量地分析各影响因素对大豆进口增长的贡献率,进而有的放矢的针对影响增长的关键因素进行重点关注 以改善大豆贸易现状.

Analysis of Influence Factors for China Soybean Import Growth Based on CMS Model

The dominant factors of soybean import and contribution rate of each influence factor for the rising import were analyzed by using Constant Market Share Model in the article. At the present stage, the domestic and overseas researcher mainly concentrated on qualitative analysis influence factor on China Soybean Import. Each of factors＂ contribution rate for soybean import growth was analyzed based on research results in domestic and overseas analyzes by quantitative analysis of Constant Market Share Model, so as to take actions according the key factors to reduce the trade deficit of Soybean Import.