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2014年前3季度国内外禽蛋市场分析与展望
引用本文:张超,李干琼,于海鹏,王玉庭,李哲敏.2014年前3季度国内外禽蛋市场分析与展望[J].农业展望,2014(10):7-11.
作者姓名:张超  李干琼  于海鹏  王玉庭  李哲敏
作者单位:中国农业科学院农业信息研究所/农业部农业信息服务技术重点实验室 北京 100081
基金项目:农业部项目“农业监测预警与信息化”
摘    要:2014年前3季度,中国鸡蛋价格波动走高,9月创下历史新高;鸡蛋供给不足是价格走高的根本原因,饲料、人工等蛋鸡饲养成本的持续上涨也起到一定的助推作用;1—8月禽蛋进口下降、出口增长,贸易顺差明显。随着在产蛋鸡存栏量的逐渐回升,鸡蛋供给偏紧的态势将有所缓和,预计第4季度蛋价将出现季节性回落。

关 键 词:禽蛋  蛋料比  市场  贸易  期货  价格  供需  影响因素  展望

Poultry Eggs Markets in the First Three Quarters of 2014 and Their Outlooks
Zhang Chao,Li Ganqiong,Yu Haipeng,Wang Yuting,Li Zhemin.Poultry Eggs Markets in the First Three Quarters of 2014 and Their Outlooks[J].Agricultural Outlook,2014(10):7-11.
Authors:Zhang Chao  Li Ganqiong  Yu Haipeng  Wang Yuting  Li Zhemin
Institution:(Agricultural Information Institute, CAAS; Key Laboratory of Agri-information Service Technology, Ministry of Agriculture, Beijing 100081 )
Abstract:In the first three quarters of 2014, China's egg price fluctuated and went up, then got a record high in September. The core reason of increasing price was the insufficient supply of egg, and the rising feeding costs of fodder and labor also played a promoted role. The imports of China's poultry eggs declined and the exports grew, which contributed to obvious trade surplus in Jan-Aug. With gradually recovering stock of laying hens, the tight situation of egg supply will be easing up, and eggs prices will go down seasonally in the fourth quarter.
Keywords:poultry eggs  egg feed ratio  market  trade  futures  price  supply and demand  influencing
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