| 气候变化对山东省农业生产影响研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 李翠菊. 气候变化对山东省农业生产影响研究[J]. 安徽农业科学, 2012, 40(2): 998-999,1011 |
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| 作者姓名： | 李翠菊 |
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| 作者单位： | 首都经济贸易大学,北京,100070 |
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| 基金项目： | 山东省自然科学基金重点项目 |
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| 摘 要： | 从山东省1985～2009年年平均气温入手,得出山东省的年平均气温有逐年升高的趋势;进而从农业生产入手,运用计量经济学中的回归分析方法分析了影响山东省农业生产的主要因素为化肥施用量与农业机械总动力,其同时也能增加温室气体的排放,导致气候变暖;最后根据模型给出了农业生产的几个建议。
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| 关 键 词： | 气候变化 农业生产 回归分析 |
Influence of Climate Change on Agriculture Production in Shandong Province |
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| LI Cui-ju. Influence of Climate Change on Agriculture Production in Shandong Province[J]. Journal of Anhui Agricultural Sciences, 2012, 40(2): 998-999,1011 |
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| Authors: | LI Cui-ju |
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| Affiliation: | LI Cui-ju(Capital University of Economics and Business,Beijing 100070) |
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| Abstract: | Starting from the annual mean temperature in Shandong Province during 1985-2009,it was concluded that the temperature tend to increase gradually;then from agriculture production,the main factors influencing the agriculture production in Shandong Province were analyzed by using regression analysis method,which includes fertilization amount and total power of agricultural machinery.The two factors may increase emission of greenhouse gases and lead to global warming.Finally,several advices for agriculture production were put forward according to the model. |
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| Keywords: | Climate change Agriculture production Regression analysis |
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