农户家庭收支视角的我国集体林权制度改革成效实证分析——基于2010-2015年7省林改监测面板数据

采用国家林业局集体林权制度改革监测2010-2015年连续6年7省的农户数据，利用非平衡面板数据模型分析集体林权制度改革成效及其影响因素。结果表明，集体林权制度改革中期以后农户家庭林业生产经营投资和涉林收入增长乏力；进一步分析其原因发现，农户家庭劳动力数量、林地规模和配套扶持政策会显著促进农户对集体林的经营和投资，而林权不稳定和不完整对农户林业投资有较大的负向影响。应积极稳妥推动流转，培育新型规模经营主体；稳定和加强有关扶持政策，引导农户持续经营投入；完善相关基本立法，强化农户林权的安全完整性。

An Empirical Analysis on China's Effect of the Collective Forest Tenure Reform from the Perspective of Rural Household Income and Expenditure: Based on 2010-2015 Panel Data of 7 Provinces

Based on the monitoring data of the State Forestry Administration on the collective forest tenure reform in 2010-2015 and the non-balanced panel data model, the effect of the collective forest tenure reform was evaluated and the influencing factors analyzed.The results showed that the rural households'' investment in forestry production and management and their forestry related incomes had grown weakly when the reform came to the medium period.Further analysis of the reasons found that the number of rural household labor, forest land size and supporting policies could significantly promote farmers'' management and investment in collective forests, while the instability and incompleteness of forest rights had a greater negative impact on farmers'' investment in forestry sector.Therefore, this paper argues that it should actively and steadily promote forest tenure transfer for nurturing new types of large-scale businesses, stabilize and strengthen relevant support policies and guide farmers to make continuous investment in management, and improve relevant legislation for ensuring the safety and integrity of farmers'' forest tenure.