中国林产工业集聚水平测度及演进趋势与产业经济增长——基于2003—2016年数据的实证分析

利用产业集聚指数和产业区域集中度测算2003—2016年中国林产工业两位数产业集聚水平，并实证分析林产工业两位数产业集聚与其经济增长的关系。研究表明:1）木材加工业和家具制造业处于中度集聚状态，而造纸与纸制品制造业处于低度集聚状态；2）木材加工业集聚度呈上升趋势，而家具制造业和造纸与纸制品制造业集聚度呈下降趋势；3）中国林产工业主要集聚在经济发达的江苏、广东、山东和浙江等沿海省份，但木材加工业和家具制造业分别在广西和四川有较快增长趋势；4）木材加工业集聚水平与其产业经济增长呈正相关，而家具制造业和造纸与纸制品制造业集聚与其产业经济增长呈负相关。

Agglomeration Level Measurement, Evolution Trend and Industrial Economic Growth of China's Forest Products Industry:An Empirical Study Based on 2003-2016 Data

This paper measured the two-digit industry agglomeration level of China''s forest products industry from 2003 to 2016 using the index of industrial agglomeration and industrial regional concentration degree, and also analyzed the correlation between the two-digit industrial agglomeration and economic growth. The results indicated that:(1)timber processing and furniture manufacturing are in a state of moderate agglomeration, while papermaking and paper products manufacturing are in the state of low agglomeration; (2)the industrial agglomeration of timber processing industry is on an upward trend, while the agglomeration of furniture manufacturing, papermaking and paper products production is declining; (3)China''s forest products industry is mainly concentrated in the developed coastal provinces including Jiangsu, Guangdong, Shandong and Zhejiang, while the timber processing and furniture manufacturing present a fast growth trend in Guangxi and Sichuan, respectively; (4)the agglomeration level of timber processing is positively correlated with the economic growth of the industry, but furniture manufacturing, papermaking and paper products manufacturing are negatively correlated with their industrial economic growth.