| 马尔可夫链在马尾松毛虫发生级别预测中的应用 |
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| 引用本文： | 付觉民.马尔可夫链在马尾松毛虫发生级别预测中的应用[J].河南林业科技,2011(2):4-6. |
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| 作者姓名： | 付觉民 |
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| 作者单位： | 信阳市森林病虫害防治检疫站,河南,464000 |
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| 摘 要： | 根据罗山县历年马尾松毛虫观测资料,将马尾松毛虫的发生级别分为4级,应用马尔可夫链对罗山县2009-2011年发生级别进行预测,结果均为1级;应用2004-2008年历史资料进行检验,准确率为100%。
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| 关 键 词： | 马尾松毛虫 发生级别 马尔可夫链 预测 |
Markovian Chain Model in Application to Predication of Occurrence Level of Dendrolinmus Punctatus |
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| FU Jue-min.Markovian Chain Model in Application to Predication of Occurrence Level of Dendrolinmus Punctatus[J].Journal of Henan Forestry Science and Technology,2011(2):4-6. |
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| Authors: | FU Jue-min |
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| Institution: | FU Jue-min(Xin Yang Station of Forest Pest Management,Henan 464000,China) |
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| Abstract: | The occurrence level of dendrolimus punctatus was dividec 4 according to the previous data of Luo Shan County.The forecast level was 1 level by means of Markov chain in 2009-2011.The simulation forecast accuracy of 2005-2008 was 100%. |
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| Keywords: | Dendrolimus punctatus occurrence level Markov chain forecast |
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