| 森林火险预测模型与数据分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 王亦欣,辛喆.森林火险预测模型与数据分析[J].农业工程,2012,2(6):21-24. |
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| 作者姓名： | 王亦欣 辛喆 |
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| 作者单位： | 1.中国人民大学财政金融学院，北京100872 |
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| 摘 要： | 火灾对人类生存环境产生极大危害，预防火险成为许多领域共同关注的焦点。该文旨在借鉴加拿大森林火险天气指数系统（FWI）各指标对于火险发生影响，确定森林火险发生的主要影响因子，在对现有数据分析与处理的基础上，建立预测火险发生模型。
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| 关 键 词： | 森林火险 预测模型 数据分析 FWI系统 |
Prediction Model and Data Analysis of Forest Fire Danger |
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| Wang Yixin and Xin Zhe.Prediction Model and Data Analysis of Forest Fire Danger[J].Agricultural Engineering,2012,2(6):21-24. |
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| Authors: | Wang Yixin and Xin Zhe |
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| Institution: | Wang Yixin1,Xin Zhe2(1.School of Finance,Renmin University of China,Beijing 100827,China;2.College of Engineering,China Agricultural University,Beijing 100083,China) |
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| Abstract: | The prevention of the fire danger has drawn the attention of many fields since the fire disaster has been threatening the security of human and property.Basing on the forest weather index(FWI),this research first extends to discuss the influences of the correlation among the indices.It then created a probability prediction model of fire danger using the Logistic regression model and other statistic analysis. |
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| Keywords: | Forest fire danger Prediction model Data analysis FWI system |
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