血管回声跟踪技术对颈动脉脉搏波放大指数的检测及其意义

目的探讨血管回声跟踪技术(ET)对颈动脉脉搏波放大指数(AI)的检测及其临床意义。方法应用ET技术检测不同年龄正常人145例、高血压患者48例、糖尿病患者26例、终末期肾病20例的AI;正常健康人分为5个年龄组:20~29岁23人,30~39岁22人,40~49岁35人,50~59岁34人,≥60岁31人。比较不同性别及不同年龄组间的AI值有无差异;比较本组各年龄组ET检测的AI与其他方法测得同龄人的AI;比较上述各疾病与同龄正常人AI的差异。用SAS6.12做统计分析。结果AI无性别差异但有年龄差异:在上述5个年龄组的AI测值分别为5.2、7.6、12.8、16.2和20.8;各年龄组ET检测的AI与其他作者其他方法测定的AI相关性良好;高血压、糖尿病及终末期肾病患者的AI均较其同龄人增高。结论ET技术中的脉搏波放大指数AI能较好地反映颈动脉弹性情况,随着年龄增高,高血压、糖尿病及终末期肾病患者的AI明显增高。     

落叶松层板分级质量评价

对落叶松胶合木用层板进行目测分级并测定其弹性模量和静曲强度,研究各等级层板的弹性模量和静曲强度及其相互之间的关系,探讨层板目测分级和机械弹性模量分级的科学性、合理性。结果表明:根据层板缺陷进行目测分级,等级高的层板其弹性模量和静曲强度的平均值和5%分位值高,目测分级能够基本反映其材质性能,具有一定的科学性与合理性;但目测分级层板弹性模量和静曲强度值的离散度很大,目测分级所能达到的准确与可靠程度决定其不能替代机械弹性模量分级。机械弹性模量分级层板的静曲强度与弹性模量呈正相关性,但各等级层板的静曲强度与弹性模量的相关系数大不相同,其静曲强度值的离散度也比较大,说明该分级方法还有改善的余地。更加科学、可靠的胶合木层板分级方法还有待进一步的探索研究。     

Responses of cycads with different life histories to the impact of plant collecting: simulation models to determine important life history stages and population recovery times

Collection of plants and seeds from wild populations threatens a large number of cycad species. We investigated to what extent individual life history stages contribute to population growth (λ) and compared two species with major differences in life histories in the African genus Encephalartos: Encephalartos cycadifolius, a highly persistent grassland species that resprouts after fire, and Encephalartos villosus, a relatively fast growing, non-sprouting forest species. Several harvesting scenarios impacting different sized individuals were simulated to determine the sensitivity of the two functional types to harvesting. In both species λ was most sensitive to changes in abundance of adult plants. The harvesting of seeds had minimal impact on population growth rates, whereas harvesting of adult plants led to rapid population decline. This response from two very different functional types suggests that the conservation of adult plants is critical for all cycad species. Despite similar responses to adult mortality, the two species had substantially different population growth rates. This determined recovery time after harvesting of adult individuals. Encephalartos cycadifolius is typical of highly persistent plant species associated with low levels of recruitment and unable to recover from even small losses of adults within a reasonable conservation time frame (<100 years). Our results suggest that the ability to recover from loss of individuals is an important factor that should be considered when assessing the vulnerability of wild populations to threats.     

Effect of heat on rheology of gluten fractions from flours with different bread-making quality

Flours from wheat varieties of differing bread-making quality were fractionated using a sequential salt precipitation technique. The gluten fractions in the different varieties varied in the proportion of HMW, LMW glutenins and gliadins. Their rheological behaviour was examined using constant strain (2%) small deformation oscillation tests over frequencies ranging from 0.005 to 10 Hz, before and after heating at 90 °C. The fractions containing a higher proportion of HMW glutenins were associated with a predominantly elastic character, whereas fractions containing mostly gliadins exhibited a viscous-like behaviour. The frequency dependent rheological behaviour of fractions containing HMW proteins was less susceptible to heat, and their elastic character was maintained after heating, whereas the rheology of intermediate fractions and fractions containing mostly gliadins was more susceptible to heating, indicating a rapid change from viscous to elastic behaviour after heating.     

Inter-regional comparisons of production technology in Canada's timber harvesting industries

Enhanced productivity in the logging industry is one of the key factors that determine the competitiveness of the forest products sector. Policy measures to improve efficiency must therefore start at the timber harvesting stage. This study analyzed and compared the production technologies in the timber harvesting industries of British Columbia (B.C.), Ontario, and Quebec, which are Canada's largest timber producing provinces. The study used annual data of log output and four inputs: labour, capital, energy, and materials from 1961 to 1999. Six models, encompassing different restrictions on the long-run translog cost function, were applied to each industry to determine the best technology for that industry. The cost function that best described each industry's technology was used to estimate own- and cross-price elasticities, input substitution elasticities, scale effects, technological change and bias, and total factor productivity. The production technologies of B.C. and Quebec were best described by homothetic, linearly homogeneous functions, while that of Ontario was found to be non-homothetic. Based on the Morishima elasticities of substitution, the results in general indicated inelastic substitution among all the four factor inputs. As a result the industries had limited options to make input adjustments with respect to changes in relative input prices; and hence required output levels were maintained at higher production costs. All three provincial industries exhibited biased technological changes, saving on capital and labour, and intensively using energy and materials. Labour and capital therefore recorded higher productivity than energy and materials over all provinces; consequently, efforts at improving the efficiency of the logging industries should focus on increasing the productivity of the latter inputs. Scale effects ranged from 2.17 in B.C. to 1.44 in Quebec implying that the timber harvesting industries appeared to have had the greatest potential for cost reduction through output expansion. In a competitive market structure, the strategic policy implication of these scale effects is that low-cost producers force high-cost industries out, leading to industrial concentration. The low levels of technological change in the timber harvesting industries observed in this study may reflect these industrial concentration problems. Policies that reduce the rental cost of capital, such an increase in investment tax credits and cuts in the corporate income tax rates have the potential to increase productivity and hence improve on the timber industry's competitive position.     

我国粮食直补对粮食产量影响的定量评估——基于2004～2007年29省面板数据的实证分析

运用Cobb-Douglas生产函数模型,构建考虑粮食直接补贴影响因素的现阶段我国粮食生产影响函数经验模型,并利用2004～2007年29省的相关面板数据估计我国粮食直接补贴对粮食产量影响的弹性系数,对比分析了粮食直接补贴政策因素对我国粮食产量影响的有效性和局限性。结果表明:现阶段我国粮食直补对粮食产量影响的弹性系数为0.002 3,在现有补贴制度和水平下,粮食直接补贴对粮食产量的增加有积极作用,但作用有限;粮食价格对粮食产量影响的弹性系数远大于粮食直补对粮食产量的影响弹性系数,因此,政府在加强和完善粮食直接补贴政策的同时,应充分重视利用市场机制适当提高粮食价格对促进粮食安全的基础性作用。     

木材高温干燥过程中的弹性应变

本文对美洲黑杨锯材高温干燥过程中的弹性应变进行了研究。结果表明：高温干燥使得木材表层产生较大的塑化变定,并对干燥后期木材内层的正常收缩造成障碍。心层的拉伸应力与木材内裂有关,当心层拉伸应力超过木材横纹拉伸极限强度时,木材产生内裂。因此,在用高温干燥工艺快速干燥杨木类软阔叶树材时,在干燥后期应注意由于干燥应力转向而引起的干燥缺陷。     

基于S—R分解定理的极矩弹性力学增量型能量原理和广义变分原理

采用拖带坐标系的应力张量增量和变形梯度S—R分解定理意义下的应变张量增量,本文证明如在大位移、大变形途径中,存在有唯一的势能与余能函数,则可建立大变形极矩弹性理论的最小势能原理和最小余能原理。在此基础上用泛函的扩宗量变换与Lagrange乘子法结合建立了具有 _j~i、 _j~i、 _i、 ~i、五类独立变分宗量的广义变分原理,它是目前极矩弹性力学中最一般的广义变分原理。     

基于最小一乘准则的粮食生产模型研究

根据影响中国粮食产量诸多因素的分析结果,运用计量经济学中的CD生产模型对中国粮食生产进行研究,并采用最小一乘估计建立粮食生产模型,通过拟合和比较分析得出稳健的中国粮食生产模型.     

Is the reintroduced white stork (Ciconia ciconia) population in Switzerland self-sustainable?

The migratory white stork (Ciconia ciconia) became extinct in Switzerland in 1950. A reintroduction project with intensive management (translocation, prevention of migration, artificial feeding) started in 1948, and 175 pairs were breeding in 2000. For the period 1973-2000 we estimated annual survival rates and fledging success to estimate the population growth rate by a stochastic matrix projection model. Compared to other populations, adult survival rate (0.86, with 95% CI: 0.81-0.89) was very high and little variable over time, juvenile survival (0.37, CI: 0.31-0.43) was comparable to other populations whereas the average fledging success was low (1.65) but strongly variable over time. The population growth rate was positive, indicating that the population is self-sustainable at the moment. The growth of the white stork population was largely favoured by the high adult survival which more than compensates for the low fledging success. The population growth rate is particularly sensitive to changes in adult survival, but it would be very difficult to improve this further with management. However, maintenance of the high adult survival is crucial and an improvement in fledging success seems important for the long-term persistence of the white stork population in Switzerland. Fledging success depends on habitat quality, and thus restoration of breeding habitats should be the main management activity in the near future.