秦岭-黄淮平原交界带中东部近50年气候变化特征与趋势

20世纪后期,全球增暖趋势明显,受此影响,秦岭-黄淮平原交界带的气候也受到不同程度地影响。选取了其中东部1961～2006年的5个代表站点气温、降水量资料,通过计算趋势系数等现代统计诊断方法,对秦岭-黄淮平原交界带中东部近50年气温和降水变化进行分析,找出其变化趋势,为敏感的交界带自然资源开发利用、自然灾害防御以及制定区域发展规划提供科学依据。结果表明,近50年交界带中东部气温呈不显著上升趋势（0.09 ℃/10年）,其中长葛的气候倾向率为0.18 ℃/10年,是年平均气温倾向率的2倍。夏季气温呈负趋势,秋季正处于较暖时期,冬季气候从冷干型逐渐转向暖湿型。年降水量倾向率为15.9 mm/10年,趋势系数为0.16,降水量增加的趋势呈现出从西向东递增的格局。夏、冬季降水表现为正趋势,而春、秋季降水呈负趋势。     

基于模糊AHP的长寿湖生态系统健康评价

Ecosystem health assessment is a focus and hot spots field of ecological research, there is no unified evaluation indicators and evaluation methods. First, according to the area physical, human features of the Changshou lake and existed research, We established ecosystem health evaluation system which has included three secondary indexes ： the ecological characteristics indicators, the function indicators and the socio - economic indicators, and has 20 indicators. Second, we assess the Changshou lake ecosystem with the ecosystem health index which based on the fuzzy AHP. The conclusions are as follows： in 2006, the Changshou lake ecosystem health index was 0. 471, it is showed that the ecosystem is in sub health, the mainly reasons is its upper reaches of the Di- anjiang county, Liangping county long - term discharge of industrial sewage and pollution of fencing fish.