首页 | 本学科首页   官方微博 | 高级检索  
文章检索
  按 检索   检索词:      
出版年份:   被引次数:   他引次数: 提示:输入*表示无穷大
  收费全文   6856篇
  免费   930篇
  国内免费   565篇
林业   1107篇
农学   347篇
基础科学   142篇
  1207篇
综合类   3066篇
农作物   296篇
水产渔业   1139篇
畜牧兽医   461篇
园艺   118篇
植物保护   468篇
  2024年   7篇
  2023年   120篇
  2022年   185篇
  2021年   247篇
  2020年   288篇
  2019年   202篇
  2018年   182篇
  2017年   242篇
  2016年   315篇
  2015年   275篇
  2014年   348篇
  2013年   421篇
  2012年   487篇
  2011年   543篇
  2010年   467篇
  2009年   451篇
  2008年   403篇
  2007年   451篇
  2006年   399篇
  2005年   390篇
  2004年   311篇
  2003年   237篇
  2002年   211篇
  2001年   187篇
  2000年   171篇
  1999年   119篇
  1998年   113篇
  1997年   119篇
  1996年   71篇
  1995年   95篇
  1994年   62篇
  1993年   62篇
  1992年   47篇
  1991年   33篇
  1990年   32篇
  1989年   19篇
  1988年   18篇
  1987年   12篇
  1986年   5篇
  1963年   1篇
  1962年   2篇
  1956年   1篇
排序方式: 共有8351条查询结果,搜索用时 15 毫秒
1.
王春晓  高峰  陈富桥  曾亮 《茶叶科学》2021,41(6):865-875
“一带一路”倡议是促进中国茶叶出口的重大机遇,但是现有研究缺乏对其实际效果的系统评估。基于2009—2018年中国与40个主要茶叶进口国家和地区的面板数据,运用渐进双重差分模型评估了“一带一路”倡议对中国茶叶出口增长的政策影响。结果表明,在控制其他影响变量的条件下,“一带一路”倡议对于中国茶叶整体出口额增长具有一定的正向影响;进一步的产品异质性分析表明,“一带一路”倡议显著促进了中国绿茶出口的增长,但对红茶出口的作用尚不显著。此外,在控制变量中,国家和地区的人均GDP以及经济开放水平的提高也能够显著促进中国茶叶出口增长。最后对我国茶叶出口贸易如何把握“一带一路”政策机遇提出了对策建议。  相似文献   
2.
经济政策不确定性对中国粮食安全的影响   总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2  
为探究经济政策不确定性对中国粮食安全的影响,基于2000—2018年中国31个省(市、自治区,统计数据未含港澳台地区)的面板数据,采用PVAR模型,研究经济政策不确定性对中国粮食供给安全、获取安全、稳定性安全和资源安全的影响及区域差异。结果表明:1)总体上,经济政策不确定性对中国粮食安全具有负向影响。2)分区域看,粮食主产区的供给安全受经济政策不确定性负向影响最大,粮食主销区的获取安全受经济政策不确定性冲击最为明显,经济政策不确定性对粮食产销平衡区的冲击最小。3)从粮食安全衡量维度看,经济政策不确定性对供给安全、获取安全和资源安全具有抑制影响,对稳定性安全呈现正向冲击作用。为确保粮食安全,中国应继续加强对粮食生产政策支持、稳定国内粮食价格和健全保障粮食安全的制度机制。  相似文献   
3.
基于不同植被指数的TRMM数据降尺度及误差校正研究   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
[目的] 对不同时间尺度的热带测雨卫星(TRMM)数据进行空间降尺度及误差校正研究,为华中地区洪涝灾害监测等提供科学参考。[方法] 主要借助增强型植被指数(EVI)和归一化植被指数(NDVI)分别运用地理加权回归(GWR)模型实现2001—2019年华中地区TRMM数据的空间降尺度,并结合地理差异分析(GDA)和地理比率分析(GRA)对年、季和月的降尺度结果进行误差校正,通过气象站数据对校正前后的数据进行对比分析。[结果] ① TRMM数据和气象站数据的决定系数(R2)在年(0.630)、季(0.710~0.865)和月(0.637~0.875)尺度都表明了TRMM数据在华中地区具有较好的适用性;②通过GWR模型实现了TRMM数据空间分辨率由0.25°到1 km的降尺度转换,且TRMMEVI数据精度优于TRMMNDVI数据,说明华中地区TRMM数据与EVI的关系比NDVI更为密切;③对优选的TRMMEVI数据分别进行GDA,GRA校正,结果表明GDA校正结果优于GRA校正,且在降雨量越多的月份校正效果越好。[结论] 在华中地区,EVI比NDVI更加适合TRMM数据降尺度研究。降尺度数据采用GDA校正比GRA校正效果更为显著。  相似文献   
4.
  1. Seamounts host some of the most important deep-sea ecosystems. The unique environmental characteristics of seamounts sustain rich biological hot spots, which, in recent times, have suffered the effects of intense fishing pressure.
  2. Biodiversity and vulnerability data are extremely scarce for Mediterranean seamounts, and this, in addition to the complex socio-economic and juridical status of offshore sites, results in difficulty in identifying the best management strategies.
  3. An extensive remotely operated vehicle (ROV) survey was used to characterize the megabenthic assemblages of the summits of two upper bathyal seamounts, Ulisse and Penelope (Ligurian Sea, north-west Mediterranean Sea). The biogeographic implications of these findings and the possible environmental factors favouring the occurrence of these communities are discussed.
  4. High densities of abandoned, lost, or otherwise discarded fishing gear (mainly longlines) and a reduction in the average size of the fragile and slow-growing habitat-forming gorgonian Callogorgia verticillata indicate the occurrence of high levels of anthropogenic impacts on the summit regions, which are fishing grounds for artisanal and recreational fishers.
  5. The recovery of fishing data describing the first catches in the 1970s proved to be useful in inferring the short- and long-term effects of fishing practices in these previously unexploited offshore areas. In particular, the local extinction of demersal top predators, subjected to exceptional catches nearly 50 years ago, highlights the slow recovery rate of such species.
  6. Criteria defining vulnerability are discussed for the two study areas, and specific conservation actions, including the creation of regulated protected areas, are proposed.
  相似文献   
5.
  1. Mediterranean fin whales aggregating in the Pelagos Sanctuary in summer to feed are exposed to vessel collision risk, particularly from high-speed ferries.
  2. This study developed models to predict summer fin whale distribution using a generalized additive model (GAM) and MaxEnt, with the aim of providing a tool to identify potential high whale–ferry collision risk areas along ferry routes within the Pelagos Sanctuary during summertime.
  3. Models were trained using sightings data collected in the summer months of 2009–2018 on board ferries crossing the central area of the Pelagos Sanctuary. Environmental predictors were bathymetry and mean sea surface chlorophyll concentration of the annual spring bloom period.
  4. The predictive ability of GAM and MaxEnt was assessed using existing knowledge of summer fin whale distribution in the region. GAM (deviance explained = 20.2%) predictions matched documented distributions more closely than that of MaxEnt, with highest predicted fin whale occurrence in deep offshore waters (>2000 m) encompassing the central north-western and western regions, and in the south-eastern region, consistent with known fin whale habitats within the Pelagos Sanctuary. Inter-annual variability was evident, influencing collision risk areas.
  5. Collision risk was estimated as a function of the overlap between the predicted probability of fin whale occurrence and ferry density estimated from Automated Identification System data. Ferry routes that cross the northern and eastern regions of the Pelagos Sanctuary presented relatively higher collision risk.
  6. Areas with changes in risk intensity between the years were temporally and spatially dynamic: some appeared intermittently throughout the study period while others persisted over consecutive years or recurred in different years.
  7. Due to the vastness of the Pelagos Sanctuary, vessel speed reduction maybe a more practical measure to manage collision risk than re-routing shipping lanes. A combination of Seasonal Management Areas and Dynamic Management Areas approaches could be adopted for high-risk areas.
  相似文献   
6.
The fall armyworm(FAW), Spodoptera frugiperda is one of the most damaging crop pests, and it has become major threat to the food security of many countries. In order to monitor possible invasion of this pest into China, a searchlight trap was established in March 2018 in western Yunnan Province, China, where it has served as the "first station" for many pests that have migrated from Myanmar to China. A number of suspected FAW moths were captured and identified by DNA sequencing. The results showed that the FAW moth was first captured on December 11 and formed its first immigration peak in mid-December 2018. DNA detection revealed that the early invading FAW population was the "corn-strain". The field survey indicated that the pest mainly colonized corn in Pu'er, Dehong and Baoshan areas. Migration trajectory simulation implied that the moths might have mainly come from the eastern area in the mid-latitude region of Myanmar(20–25°N, 94–100°E). This case study confirmed the first immigration of FAW into China, and will be helpful for guiding monitoring and management work to control this pest.  相似文献   
7.
曾雄生 《中国稻米》2021,27(4):127-132
大致说来,一万年前是中国稻作的起源时期,一千年前则是中国稻作传统的形成时期,而最近一百年则是中国稻作发展最快的时期。用一百年、一千年、一万年这三个大致的时间节点,全景展示中国稻米的历史、稻米对于国计民生的重要性、千百年来中国人民为解决吃饭问题所做的努力、近百年来中国稻作科技的发展与进步,展望未来稻米所可能遇到的挑战和前景。  相似文献   
8.
Climate change severely impacts agricultural production, which jeopardizes food security. China is the second largest maize producer in the world and also the largest consumer of maize. Analyzing the impact of climate change on maize yields can provide effective guidance to national and international economics and politics. Panel models are unable to determine the group-wise heteroscedasticity, cross-sectional correlation and autocorrelation of datasets, therefore we adopted the feasible generalized least square(FGLS) model to evaluate the impact of climate change on maize yields in China from 1979–2016 and got the following results:(1) During the 1979–2016 period, increases in temperature negatively impacted the maize yield of China. For every 1°C increase in temperature, the maize yield was reduced by 5.19 kg 667 m–2(1.7%). Precipitation increased only marginally during this time, and therefore its impact on the maize yield was negligible. For every 1 mm increase in precipitation, the maize yield increased by an insignificant amount of 0.043 kg 667 m–2(0.014%).(2) The impacts of climate change on maize yield differ spatially, with more significant impacts experienced in southern China. In this region, a 1°C increase in temperature resulted in a 7.49 kg 667 m–2 decrease in the maize yield, while the impact of temperature on the maize yield in northern China was insignificant. For every 1 mm increase in precipitation, the maize yield increased by 0.013 kg 667 m–2 in southern China and 0.066 kg 667 m–2 in northern China.(3) The resilience of the maize crop to climate change is strong. The marginal effect of temperature in both southern and northern China during the 1990–2016 period was smaller than that for the 1979–2016 period.  相似文献   
9.
西京古道作为第八批全国重点文物保护单位之一,其历史遗存丰富,且孕育着繁茂的野生植物资源。通过对西京古道的植物资源进行全面的调查,鉴定出维管植物有81科217属266种,其中观赏植物资源68科123属163种(含变种)。通过对西京古道乳源段植物资源的实地调查,掌握了古道沿线植物资源现状并分析其观赏特性及应用价值。在对西京古道沿线植物群落景观进行分析的基础上,提出基于石漠化背景下的古驿道植物景观营造方法及生态修复对策。  相似文献   
10.
AquaCrop模型在东北黑土区作物产量预测中的应用研究   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
东北黑土区是我国玉米和大豆生产基地,为了实现利用AquaCrop模型优化管理和预测产量,本文基于作物小区田间试验和大田观测数据,采用OAT(one factor at a time)法分析了该模型参数的敏感性,率定了敏感性高的参数,并对率定后的模型进行了验证。结果表明:玉米和大豆产量均对影响经济产量的收获指数十分敏感,二者虽然对冠层和根系生长参数都敏感,但有所差异:玉米对冠层衰减系数(canopy decline coefficient,CDC)更为敏感,而大豆则对限制冠层伸展的水分胁迫系数曲线的形状因子(shape factor for water stress coefficient for canopy expansion,Pexshp)更为敏感;玉米因根系深对最大有效根深(maximum effective rooting depth,Zx)更敏感,大豆因根系浅对根区根系伸展曲线的形状因子(shape factor describing root zone expansion,Rexshp)更敏感。由于玉米需水量大,对冠层形成和枯萎前的作物系数(crop coefficient before canopy formation and senescence,KcTr,x)和归一化水分生产力(normalized water productivity,WP*)很敏感,大豆则是一般敏感。率定后模型模拟玉米产量与实测产量的回归系数由0.34提升至0.89,模拟大豆产量与实测产量的回归系数由0.80提升至0.88。进一步用大田实测产量的验证结果表明:预测的玉米与大豆产量与实测产量间回归方程的决定系数(coefficient of determination,R2)分别为0.775和0.779,均方根误差(root mean square error,RMSE)分别为1.076 t hm^–2和0.299 t hm^–2,标准均方根误差(normalized root mean square error,NRMSE)分别为0.097和0.178,模拟效率(model efficiency,ME)分别为0.747和0.730,率定后的AquaCrop模型能较精准地模拟东北黑土区玉米和大豆产量,可用于产量预测或优化管理。  相似文献   
设为首页 | 免责声明 | 关于勤云 | 加入收藏

Copyright©北京勤云科技发展有限公司  京ICP备09084417号