吕梁山地区植被物候变化及对气候的响应

吕梁山地区地形垂直差异明显,植被对气候变化反应敏感,研究吕梁山地区植被物候变化,探索植被物候变化与气候的响应关系,旨在为高海拔山区植被物候研究和生态治理提供借鉴。基于2000—2015年MODIS NDVI时间序列数据,通过动态阈值法提取吕梁山地区的植被物候,对气温、降水进行空间插值,并对植被2个关键物候期与气候因素进行偏相关分析。结果表明：（1）植被生长季开始日期(the start of the growing season,SOS)提前的区域约占85.7%,其中16.2%显著提前;植被生长季结束日期(the end of the growing season,EOS)推迟的区域约占90.6%,其中33.3%显著推迟。（2）区内74.8%、87.7%植被SOS分别与气温、降水呈负相关,气温升高或降水增加,植被SOS提前。植被SOS在高海拔山区受4月气温影响显著,而低海拔地区受4月降水影响显著。（3）区内72.6%、65.1%植被EOS分别与气温、降水呈正相关,气温升高或降水增加,植被EOS推迟。植被EOS在北部和西部地区受11月气温影响显著,而高海拔地区受9月降水影响显著。2000—2015年吕梁山地区植被物候发生显著变化,各地区对气温、降水的响应不同,研究结果可为区域物候、气候变化研究和陆地生态治理提供科学依据。     

Assessing the effects of vegetation and precipitation on soil erosion in the Three-River Headwaters Region of the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau,China

Soil erosion in the Three-River Headwaters Region (TRHR) of the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau in China has a significant impact on local economic development and ecological environment. Vegetation and precipitation are considered to be the main factors for the variation in soil erosion. However, it is a big challenge to analyze the impacts of precipitation and vegetation respectively as well as their combined effects on soil erosion from the pixel scale. To assess the influences of vegetation and precipitation on the variation of soil erosion from 2005 to 2015, we employed the Revised Universal Soil Loss Equation (RUSLE) model to evaluate soil erosion in the TRHR, and then developed a method using the Logarithmic Mean Divisia Index model (LMDI) which can exponentially decompose the influencing factors, to calculate the contribution values of the vegetation cover factor (C factor) and the rainfall erosivity factor (R factor) to the variation of soil erosion from the pixel scale. In general, soil erosion in the TRHR was alleviated from 2005 to 2015, of which about 54.95% of the area where soil erosion decreased was caused by the combined effects of the C factor and the R factor, and 41.31% was caused by the change in the R factor. There were relatively few areas with increased soil erosion modulus, of which 64.10% of the area where soil erosion increased was caused by the change in the C factor, and 23.88% was caused by the combined effects of the C factor and the R factor. Therefore, the combined effects of the C factor and the R factor were regarded as the main driving force for the decrease of soil erosion, while the C factor was the dominant factor for the increase of soil erosion. The area with decreased soil erosion caused by the C factor (12.10×10³ km²) was larger than the area with increased soil erosion caused by the C factor (8.30×10³ km²), which indicated that vegetation had a positive effect on soil erosion. This study generally put forward a new method for quantitative assessment of the impacts of the influencing factors on soil erosion, and also provided a scientific basis for the regional control of soil erosion.     

植保机变量施药鲁棒H∞最优控制

提出了一种基于电控伺服变量柱塞泵的植保机变量施药控制方法,推导并建立了包含参数不确定性和扰动的施药流量模型,设计了鲁棒H∞最优控制器并证明其鲁棒稳定性,并转化为线性矩阵不等式求解控制器参数。本研究弥补了传统优化控制方法对于不确定性反应较为敏感的不足,与传统的线性二次型最优控制相比具有一定的快速性和鲁棒性优势,能够满足复杂作业条件下植保机精准变量施药要求,有效提高了农药利用率。     

基于温度植被干旱指数的兖州煤田煤炭开采影响边界遥感提取

为识别植被覆盖区煤炭开采的生态影响边界,该文以兖州煤田为研究区域,应用温度植被干旱指数TVDI(temperature vegetation drought index)反演沉陷积水区外围的土壤湿度空间分布特征,利用MATLAB拟合TVDI变化趋势并依据其趋于稳定的渐近线,反解煤炭开采活动对矿区生态的影响边界,将其与采用MSCS(mining subsidence prediction system,MSCS)软件预计获得的下沉10 mm沉陷边界进行对比。结果表明:不同距离的TVDI中位数随距积水区边缘距离的变化表现为先增加后趋于平稳、呈指数变化特征;基于TVDI分析得到的煤炭开采的非积水影响范围,仅相当于沉陷积水面积的2.07倍,预计沉陷非积水面积与预计沉陷积水面积之比为4.63倍。通过模型拟合遥感指数随距离的变化特征,能够获得煤炭开采的影响边界;兖州煤田基于TVDI获取的煤炭开采影响面积,相对小于预计的开采沉陷面积。该研究可为确定煤炭开采对生态影响的边界提供参考。     

内蒙古东部干旱年份玉米需水规律及灌溉制度优化

基于通辽市丰田灌溉试验站3年野外实测试验,对该地区干旱年份玉米需水规律开展研究,结果表明:研究区干旱年份玉米拔节期与抽雄期耗水量占玉米整个生育期的50%以上,耗水强度依次表现为抽雄期拔节期灌浆期苗期,各生育阶段日耗水强度介于0.79~6.50 mm·d~(-1)之间;玉米干旱年份苗期、拔节期水分胁迫处理减产率较小,均未达到显著水平,抽雄期水分胁迫造成的减产量最大,多年平均达10%以上。干旱年份随着玉米耗水量的增加,产量持续增加,而水分生产率先升后降,合理的水分胁迫有利于提高干旱年份水资源的利用效率;同时通过数学模型与动态规划,提出了干旱年份玉米不同灌溉定额条件下的非充分优化灌溉制度,干旱年份应首先保证玉米抽雄期、灌浆期各灌水1次的要求,每次灌水约600 m3·hm-2。     

基于Lab颜色空间的棉花覆盖度提取方法研究

基于手持高清可见光图像和无人机可见光遥感影像中植被与非植被像元在不同颜色空间单通道上分布的差异性,以苗期和蕾期的棉花为对象,进行了棉花覆盖度的提取方法研究。基于不同天气状况和不同采集时刻等光照条件下采集的29幅具有不同覆盖度的棉花地面可见光图像,分别对比分析了Lab颜色空间a通道、RGB颜色空间2G-R-B指数和HIS颜色空间H通道对棉花的识别能力,以及使用动态阈值和固定阈值两种情况下的棉花覆盖度提取精度。其中动态阈值通过植被与非植被像元的高斯分布交点确定,固定阈值在3种颜色空间分别设置为动态阈值的均值。结果表明,植被像元与非植被像元在a通道、2G-R-B指数和H通道上呈现高斯分布,可以采用非线性最小二乘算法实现高斯分布拟合。通过高斯分布拟合求解交点得到的动态分类阈值分布范围较为集中,将其均值-3.78、0.06、0.13设定为固定分类阈值。相比于2G-R-B指数和H通道,a通道对绿色植被的识别能力最好,更适合提取棉花植被覆盖度;相比于动态阈值,固定阈值的提取精度更好,平均提取误差为0.009 4。将该方法应用到无人机尺度时,同样可以较好地提取不同天气状况和不同土壤干湿类型的棉花覆盖度,且总体平均提取误差为0.012。经过初步检验和分析认为,基于植被与非植被像元在Lab颜色空间a通道上分布的差异性,结合固定分类阈值,可以精确地提取不同光照条件下的苗期和蕾期棉花覆盖度。     

基于无人机遥感影像的冬小麦氮素监测

精准氮素管理是一项提高作物氮肥利用效率的有效策略,利用无人机遥感技术精确估测小麦氮素状况是必要的。试验在山东省乐陵市科技小院实验基地进行,利用八旋翼无人机搭载Mini-MCA多光谱相机于2016年获取冬小麦4个关键生育时期(返青期、拔节期、孕穗期、扬花期)冠层多光谱数据,同步获取地上部植株样品并测定其生物量、吸氮量、氮营养指数,及成熟期籽粒产量,根据各关键生育期与全生育期分别构建植被指数与农学参数回归分析模型,评估基于无人机遥感影像的冬小麦氮素营养诊断潜力。结果表明:基于无人机遥感影像能够较好地估测冬小麦氮素指标(R2为0.45~0.96),决定系数随着生育期推移而逐渐增大。拔节期、孕穗期和扬花期估产效果接近且具有很好的估测能力,扬花期DATT幂函数模型对小麦氮营养指数的解释能力最强(R2=0.95)。因此,以多旋翼无人机为平台同步搭载多光谱相机对冬小麦有较好的氮素诊断潜力,可利用估测结果指导精准氮肥管理。     

Modelling optimal timing and frequency of insecticide sprays for knockdown in preparation for other control measures

A modelling investigation was conducted into optimizing the number of sprays and inter-spray interval to reduce an insect population to a low level, for example, prior to pheromone trapping or the release of sterile males. The model population was age-structured and density-dependent. If spray mortality is 100% for each spray, then the ideal spraying schedule is easily determined from the durations of the various life stages. For spray mortality of less than 100%, a simulation was used to determine optimal spraying schedules. Relative length of the larval period, fertility rate and age to first oviposition were found to be the most important biotic parameters for this determination. Their importance is magnified as spray mortality decreases. The stage targeted by sprays and the percent mortality caused by each spray are also important in determining the required number of sprays. Using medfly (Ceratitis capitata Wiedmann) biotic parameters as an example when the spray targets adults, it appeared that neither the stage at which density-dependent mortality takes effect, nor the form of the adult survivorship curve are important in determining the optimal spray schedule.     

1979—2020年杭州市富阳区土地利用对耕层土壤有机碳储量变化的影响

土地利用变化对陆地生态系统碳储量变化影响显著,在制定土地政策时,必须考虑土地利用变化对土壤碳储量的动态影响。以杭州市富阳区为研究对象,探讨了1979—2006年间土地利用变化对碳储量的影响,并预测评价了县区级土地利用规划政策对土壤碳库的影响。结果显示:研究区1979—2006年间土地利用变化导致全区植被碳总量损失为273.4 Gg,表层土壤(0—20 cm)有机碳总量损失为771.0 Gg,建设占用耕地和林地是导致土壤碳储量下降的主要原因。预测2006—2020年间研究区植被碳损失的年均速率将减至25.93 kg·hm^-2,土壤有机碳损失的年均速率将减至27.48 kg·hm^-2。制定合理政策和有效措施来保护林地,抑制建设用地增长,扭转土壤碳损失趋势势在必行。     

芋疫病空间分布格局及其抽样技术研究

为了进一步提高对芋疫病预测预报,科学指导生产上的防治,应用最小二乘法、频次分布、聚集度指标、m^*-m回归分析和Taylor幂法则等对病株的空间分布型进行了分析。结果表明:当田间芋疫病病株率在0.427~0.513时,病株田间分布属聚集分布;当田间芋疫病病株率在0.720~0.820时,病株田间分布属均匀分布。此外其病株空间分布的基本成分是个体群,病株个体间相互吸引,病株在大田中存在明显的发病中心,且病株个体的空间格局随着病株密度的提高越趋均匀分。在此基础上,提出了Iwao最适理论抽样模型N=232.3783/m-87.9438,并建立序贯抽样模型T₀(N)=0.3689N±1.7177$\sqrt{N}$,即:调查株数N时,若累计病株率超过上界可定为防治对象田,若累计病株率未达到下界时,可定为不防治田,若累计病株率在上下界之间,则应继续调查,直到最大样本数m₀=0.3689时,也即病株率15%,所需抽样数542株止。