小流域坝系相对稳定与布局优化规划模型研究

坝系相对稳定与优化布局规划是当前小流域坝系建设研究的热点领域。在对坝系规划及坝系相对稳定研究和应用现状综述的基础上,依据系统动力学的原理,采用经验法、动态仿真法和非线性规划法建立了基于拦泥库容、滞洪库容、溢洪道流量优化设计的坝系布局优化模型和建坝时序优化模型,编制了坝系规划计算机自动优化流程图,并以陕北黄土丘陵区韭园沟小流域坝系优化为例,对模型进行了实例验证,取得了较好的应用效果,对黄土高原丘陵沟壑区小流域坝系建设优化规划有借鉴和指导意义。     

黄土高原梯田和淤地坝坡沟治理措施对产流产沙的协同效应

黄土高原地区的梯田和淤地坝措施发挥了重要的水土保持功能,然而现有的研究主要关注单个措施的减水减沙效应,对坡沟治理措施综合配置协同调控水沙过程的作用一直认识不清。因此,该研究为解析梯田和淤地坝措施对水沙过程的协同调控效应,构建了10个坡沟系统物理模型,设置了对照组（CO）,单一措施组（梯田措施（T0）,4种因淤地坝淤积导致坡沟区域的坡长缩短（L1、L2、L3和L4））和组合措施组（梯田与4种因淤地坝淤积导致坡沟区域的坡长缩短的综合配置（T1、T2、T3和T4））,进行降雨强度为90 mm/h的室内模拟降雨试验,量化不同试验方案下坡沟系统的产流产沙过程。结果表明：1）梯田措施和淤地坝淤积导致坡沟区域坡长缩短均有效调控了坡沟系统的产流产沙过程,梯田能分别减少46.30%～83.59%的径流总量和25.82%～82.41%的泥沙总量,淤地坝导致坡沟区域坡长缩短能分别减少7.87%～33.42%的径流总量和10.20%～30.57%的泥沙总量。2）不同试验方案下坡沟系统的产沙率和产流率之间满足线性关系,而累计产沙量和累计产流量满足幂函数关系。3）综合措施配置发挥了“1+1> 2”的水土保持...     

Evaluation of Breeding Value and Selection of Bull Dams in the Danish Dairy Breeds: I. Studies on Realized Efficiency of Bull Dam and Bull Sire Selection

Abstract

The relationship between twice the adjusted daughter yield deviation (DYD) of the son and the average of the estimated breeding values (EBV) of his parents was investigated for milk and fat yield. Deviations from expectations of DYD minus the pedigree index and the regression of DYD on the EBV for each of the parents were estimated. The EBV of each bull dam was calculated in several ways using different combinations of pedigree information and their own records. In all, 1693 bulls (880 Black and White (BW), 418 Red Danish (RD) and 395 Danish Jersey (DJ)) with Direct Updating indices for milk and fat yield were included in the investigation. Mean discrepancies between estimated and observed genetic merit for kg of milk yield were ?348 for BW, ?213 for RD and ?228 for DJ, when all of the bull dams' individual records were utilized in breeding value estimation. The corresponding mean discrepancies for kg of fat yield were ?14.7, ?11.5 and ?11.9, respectively. The discrepancies were positively correlated with the number of lactation records included in the dams' EBVs. Regression coefficients of bull DYDs on bull dam breeding values were significantly lower than expected for RD and BW regardless of the number of individual lactation records included in the dams' indexes for milk and fat yield. For all three breeds, the regression coefficients were lowest for fat yield. The most probable cause of overestimation in bull dam EBVs is preferential treatment, particularly in second and later lactations. To avoid this bias, estimation of a bull dam's breeding value should be based on pedigree information and on records from only her first lactation.     

基于正交试验土石坝热-流耦合模型参数的敏感性分析

【目的】研究热-流耦合模型参数的敏感性,减小运行期土石坝热-流耦合模型参数校正过程的工作量,为土石坝热-流耦合模型参数选取提供依据。【方法】采用正交试验法,以某水库土石坝为例,基于大坝热-流耦合模型,以坝体与坝基平均温度作为敏感性分析的主要指标,对大坝热-流耦合模型各参数的敏感性进行分析。【结果】渗透率和土体比热容对土石坝温度场影响较敏感,其极差值分别为0.124 5和0.086 2,其余参数的敏感性由强到弱依次为孔隙率(n)、饱和含水率(θs)、导热系数(λ)、残余含水率(θr)和土体密度(ρ),极差值分别为0.046 5,0.029 3,0.026 6,0.014 3和0.011 3,相对于渗透率和土体比热容,这5个参数对于温度场计算结果的影响较小。【结论】在对土石坝温度场进行校正时,应将模型中的渗透率和土体比热容作为重点参数。     

热带高温地区碾压混凝土重力坝温控措施

为了研究在高温环境下浇筑大坝混凝土时,控制浇筑温度和通冷却水等常用温控措施的效果、探索适用于高温施工环境的温控措施,利用有限元法对某一位于热带高温地区的碾压混凝土重力坝进行了施工期和运行期的全过程温度场和温度应力场仿真计算,对比分析了不同冷却水水温和浇筑温度下的坝体温度场和温度应力场.计算结果表明,坝体温度应力受浇筑温度和冷却水水温影响较大,将坝体基础约束区的浇筑温度从25℃降低到23℃、冷却水水温从20℃降低到15℃时,坝体最高温度从36.9℃降低到了34.6℃、最大温度应力从1.64MPa降低到了1.40MPa,此结果满足该大坝温控防裂要求.由此可见,在高温地区建混凝土坝时,在相对较高的浇筑温度和冷却水水温的施工条件下,坝体的温度和温度应力可得到有效控制.研究成果对简化温控措施、缩短工期、减少投资有重要参考意义.     

特大暴雨条件下小流域沟道的泥沙连通性及其影响因素——以陕西省子洲县为例

[目的]研究特大暴雨条件下小流域沟道泥沙输移路径、泥沙连通程度及其影响因素,旨在探讨水库溃坝的原因,为沟道防洪措施的布设提供依据。[方法]以陕西省子洲县"7·26"暴雨条件下小流域沟道泥沙连通情况为例,选取面积相近、形状相异的清水沟和蛇家沟小流域,对沟道泥沙淤积情况进行现场调查,同时将沟道分为坝地沟段和自然沟段,选取流域面积与形状系数、沟道比降,以及淤地坝的类型与分布进行对比分析两个小流域沟道泥沙连通性的差异。[结果]在此次特大暴雨条件下,清水沟和蛇家沟的淤地坝大都呈现打开状态,由上游到下游清水沟泥沙连通性呈现较强的增长趋势,蛇家沟泥沙连通性则呈现先增长后减弱的趋势。整体上清水沟的泥沙连通性比蛇家沟的强,且清水沟流域的土壤侵蚀也较为严重。串联和混联坝系以及修建有卧管、竖井和排水渠的淤地坝防洪能力更强。[结论]流域面积、流域形状和沟道比降均影响着沟道泥沙的连通性,而淤地坝类型及分布是影响沟道泥沙连通性的主导因子。     

悦来航电枢纽库坝区渗漏问题的分析与评价

根据松花江悦来航电枢纽工程的勘察实例,对悦来航电枢纽库坝区渗漏问题进行了分析与评价,并且较详细地介绍了工程防治处理措施。     

河北省承德市接坝地区畜间包虫病感染风险因素研究

为寻找河北省承德市接坝地区牛羊群包虫病潜在风险因素,对承德市接坝地区23个乡镇的184个养殖户进行风险因素问卷调查,并分析调查结果。结果显示,牛羊养殖方式粗放、犬粪不进行无害化处理、犬密切接触羊牛群、驱虫后没有对犬进行拴养是包虫病感染的重要风险因素。通过Hosmer-Lemeshow检验,证明建立的Logistic回归模型拟合较好。结果表明,养殖户加强牛羊管理,对犬合理驱虫,限制散养犬接触牛羊群对于降低包虫病感染风险具有重要意义。     

Genetic and environmental factors affecting ultrasound measures of longissimus muscle area and backfat thickness in Nelore cattle

The aim of the present study was to evaluate the genetic and environmental factors affecting records of longissimus muscle area (LMA) and backfat thickness (BF) obtained between the 12th and 13th ribs, and rump fat thickness (RF) between the hook and pin bones, measured by real-time ultrasound in Nelore cattle. Also, weight records of 22,778 animals born from 1998 to 2003, in ten farms across six Brazilian states were used. Carcass traits as measured by ultrasound of the live animal were recorded from 2002 to 2004 in 2590 males and females with ages varying from 450 to 599 days. Fixed models including farm, year and season of birth, sex and type of feed effects, and the covariates age of dam (AOD) and age of animal at measurement were used to study the effect of environmental factors on these traits. The genetic parameters for LMA, BF and RF were estimated with two and three-trait animal models with 120-day weights using a restricted maximum likelihood method. All environmental effects significantly affected carcass traits, with the exception of year of birth for BF and RF and AOD for LMA. The heritability estimates for LMA, BF and RF were 0.35, 0.51 and 0.39, respectively. Standard errors obtained in one-trait analyses were from 0.07 to 0.09. Genetic correlation estimates between LMA and the two traits of subcutaneous fat were low (close to zero) and 0.74 between BF and RF, indicating that the selection for LMA should not cause antagonism in the genetic improvement of subcutaneous fat measured by real-time ultrasound.