Impact of climate change on maize yield in China from 1979 to 2016

Climate change severely impacts agricultural production, which jeopardizes food security. China is the second largest maize producer in the world and also the largest consumer of maize. Analyzing the impact of climate change on maize yields can provide effective guidance to national and international economics and politics. Panel models are unable to determine the group-wise heteroscedasticity, cross-sectional correlation and autocorrelation of datasets, therefore we adopted the feasible generalized least square(FGLS) model to evaluate the impact of climate change on maize yields in China from 1979–2016 and got the following results:(1) During the 1979–2016 period, increases in temperature negatively impacted the maize yield of China. For every 1°C increase in temperature, the maize yield was reduced by 5.19 kg 667 m–2(1.7%). Precipitation increased only marginally during this time, and therefore its impact on the maize yield was negligible. For every 1 mm increase in precipitation, the maize yield increased by an insignificant amount of 0.043 kg 667 m–2(0.014%).(2) The impacts of climate change on maize yield differ spatially, with more significant impacts experienced in southern China. In this region, a 1°C increase in temperature resulted in a 7.49 kg 667 m–2 decrease in the maize yield, while the impact of temperature on the maize yield in northern China was insignificant. For every 1 mm increase in precipitation, the maize yield increased by 0.013 kg 667 m–2 in southern China and 0.066 kg 667 m–2 in northern China.(3) The resilience of the maize crop to climate change is strong. The marginal effect of temperature in both southern and northern China during the 1990–2016 period was smaller than that for the 1979–2016 period.     

云南不同气候带农业气候资源变化特征研究

为分析全省平均以及各气候带光能、热量、水分资源的时空变化特征,使用云南115站及6个气候带代表站1961—2018年的气候要素计算各地农业气候资源统计量。结果表明,光能资源变化以减少趋势为主,出现显著突变,各气候带太阳辐射变化可能会引起云南太阳辐射高低值中心发生变化,2009年以来辐射明显增加可能会导致太阳辐射出现新的变化趋势和突变点;热量资源一致显著增加,喜凉及喜温作物的活动积温、积温持续时间及无霜期长度均显著增加,并且呈现初日提前、终日推后的趋势,对作物生长有利;水分资源总体呈现减少趋势,尤其21世纪以来下降趋势明显,亚热带地区暖干化现象突出,干旱风险等级较高。     

气候变化情景下流苏香竹潜在分布区预测

流苏香竹（Chimonocalamus fimbriatus）是云南特有珍稀竹种，主要分布于云南西南部。文章以野外调查获取的流苏香竹分布信息为主，运用最大熵模型（MaxEnt）同时结合地理信息系统（ArcGIS），基于19个气候因子，预测其在当前及未来气候变化情景下的潜在分布区。结果表明：当前流苏香竹的高适生区和中适生区主要分布于德宏州、保山市和临沧市等地，除迪庆州、丽江市和昭通市外，云南其他区域均有低适生区零星分布。在未来2050s和2070s的2个时间段，基于2种不同共享社会经济路径（SSP1-2.6和SSP5-8.5），流苏香竹的高适生区面积呈减少的趋势，尤其是SSP5-8.5路径下，高适生区面积仅为当前的12.51%（2050s）和18.63%（2070s）；中、低适生区在SSP1-2.6路径下，显著扩张（2050s）或略微扩张（2070s），在SSP5-8.5路径下，则大幅收缩。流苏香竹野外实际分布区及其潜在分布区均以斑块状为主，可能与云南特殊的地形、地貌有关。影响流苏香竹分布的主导气候因子为最湿月份降水量、最暖月份最高温度、最干季度降水量和平均气温日较差。流苏香竹对气候变化比较敏感，根据其野外分布状况，建议以就地保护为主、迁地保护为辅，在其潜在适生区内适当引种栽培。     

全球植物科学领域发展态势分析

基于农业科技创新的发展需求,为农业科技资源的有效配置提供支撑,从文献计量角度对全球植物科学领域研究现状及态势进行分析。利用定性、定量相结合的方法构建检索策略,基于Web of Science数据库及文献计量分析工具,对文献发表量、文献主要贡献国家、机构、期刊及发文量较高的作者H指数进行统计分析。结果表明,1995—2018年植物科学领域的文章发表量整体上呈现稳定增长趋势,学科呈现蓬勃发展的整体势头。美国和中国是文献主要贡献国家,文献量和总被引频次显著高于其他国家,但美国及欧洲国家的篇均被引数量高于中国。从全球来看,中国科研机构在发文数量占有绝对优势,而德国马克思普朗克的文章篇均被引数量高,达到10以上。对2016—2018年的高被引文献(Top10)进行内容分析,并通过高频词共现主题聚类可视化分析。从论文影响力及主题词规模2个维度表征领域内研究方向。结果表明,“植物应对生物及非生物胁迫”、“基因编辑技术”、“基因组学分析”、“植物生殖发育调控”是近年来植物科学的高关注度研究方向,主题内容与前期的需求调研相符,初步预测这些研究方向将对农业创新发展起到重要推动作用。     

辣椒黄绿苗突变体生物学特性及生长动态研究

对96－140牛角辣椒及96－140辣椒黄绿苗突变体（96－140YBM）生物学特性、生长动态、抗病性等方面进行了测定，试验收结果表明96－140辣椒黄绿苗突变体不仅在生长势，叶片、株重、单果重等方面强于96－140，而且在抗疫病方面明显强于96－140牛角辣椒。96－140YBM性状遗传稳定，苗期遗传标记性状明显，在杂交育种及纯度鉴定上有较大的利用价值。     

新时期图书馆发展趋势的启示

图书馆作为知识信息集散地，在以计算机技术、网络技术及通讯技术为主的新技术的影响下，不可避免地受到冲击。载体形式、检索方式及用户群体的变化，使传统图书馆的生存和发展将面临极大的挑战。如何摆脱困境，抓住机遇，提供优质服务，是新时期图书馆应面对和探讨的。     

试析我国竞争情报研究

随着信息社会的发展,竞争情报研究倍受人们的关注。本文概括了我国竞争情报研究的现状并予以分析,同时对我国竞争情报研究的发展趋势进行了初步的探讨。     

新疆地区棉花秸秆机械的现状及发展

针对新疆地区棉花秸秆利用现状及发展前景，分析了棉花秸秆机械技术研究及棉花秸秆机械发展过程中存在的优势和不足，指出了棉花秸秆机械的发展方向。     

A novel approach to studying the effects of temperature on soil biogeochemistry using a thermal gradient bar

The temperature dependence of chemical reaction rates and microbial metabolism mean that temperature is a key factor regulating soil trace gas emissions and hydrochemistry. Here we evaluated a novel approach for studying the thermal response of soils, by examining the effects of temperature on gas emissions and hydrochemistry in (a) peat and (b) soil from a Sitka spruce plantation. A thermal gradient was applied along an aluminium bar, allowing soil to be incubated contemporaneously from 2 to 18 °C. The approach demonstrated clear differences in the biogeochemical responses of the two soil types to warming. The peat showed no significant emission of CH₄ at temperatures below 6 °C, while above 6 °C, a marked increase in the rate of release was apparent up to 15 °C (Q₁₀ = 2.5) with emissions being similar between 15 and 18 °C. Conversely, CH₄ emissions from the forest soil did not respond to warming. Nitrate availability in the peat decreased by 90% between 2 and 18 °C (P < 0.01), whereas concentrations in the forest soil did not respond. Sulphate availability in the peat decreased significantly with warming (60%, P < 0.01), while the forest soil showed the opposite response (a 30% increase, P < 0.01). Conventionally, thermal responses are studied by incubating individual soil samples at different temperatures, involving lengthy preparation and facilities to incubate samples at different temperatures simultaneously. Data collected on a given thermal response is usually limited and thus interpolated or extrapolated. The thermal gradient method overcomes these problems, is simple and flexible, and can be adapted for a wide range of sample types (not confined to soil). Such apparatus may prove useful in the optimization of management practices to mitigate the effects of climate change, as thermal responses will differ depending on land use and soil type.     

WEPP模型中的CLIGEN与BPCDG应用对比研究

通过对遂宁组紫色土产流、产沙侵蚀的观测,运用迄今为止最为复杂的土壤侵蚀预测模型WEPP模型进行单次降雨侵蚀预测,与实测值比较,并对比通过气候生成器CLIGEN和断点生成器BPCDG的产生的气候参数对预测值的影响。通过分析比较结果,认为WEPP模型对遂宁组紫色土侵蚀过程预测合理,而且利用断点生成器BPCDG的预测结果要优于气候生成器CLIGEN的预测结果。