Measuring trail users’ perception of crowding in a peri-urban nature park: A best-worst scaling experiment

This paper evaluates the perception of crowding, its determinants and relationship with trail users’ experience in a peri-urban nature park. Existing crowding surveys rely heavily on a single-item 9-point crowding scale which was originally developed for backcountry areas. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis was used to test the validity and reliability of this measure in detecting crowding issues and formulating visitor capacity limits. Low validity and reliability raised concerns about the applicability of this scale in similar frontcountry areas. Inability of this simple crowding measure to detect a visitor threshold brings to the fore its another important limitation – ignorance of the complexity of crowding phenomenon. The perception of crowding varies with various social, psychological and situational factors, and a best-worst scaling (BWS) experiment was designed to simultaneously evaluate different aspects of crowding in the Medvednica Nature Park, a peri-urban nature park near Zagreb, Croatia. The findings of BWS experiment revealed that occupancy of mountain huts, number of other hikers on the trail and amount of litter along the trail on average contributed most to the trail users’ sense of crowding. A latent class analysis identified a large heterogeneity in the perception of crowding; while one group of trail users (63%) was more disturbed by the direct social impacts, the others (37%) were more disturbed by the secondary impacts of other visitors, especially by the negative externalities from road traffic in the park. Older visitors had a greater tendency to primarily associate crowding with the environmental conditions. A higher impact of trail use level in the perception of crowding, younger age and more frequent use were associated with a more negative evaluation of crowding. The park management should closely monitor road traffic in the park and visitor activity on highly used trails, especially on those popular among younger trail users.     

护坦与丁坝在林区沿河公路防护中的应用

研究分析了丁坝和护坦在沿河林区公路路基防护中的作用、防护原理、设置方法、应用条件和有效性问题。     

农业产业化运行机制的现实分析

农业产业化是一项涉及多部门、多产业、多主体的系统工程，这一系统能否高效的运作.是实施农业产业化发展战略的关键。木文通过对农业产业化运行模式和运行机制的现实分析.阐述了在新形势下如何有效建立起农业产业化的运行机制。     

基于样条曲线的水泵叶片流线控制方法

针对传统的水泵CAD软件在绘制和调控展开流线时很大程度上依靠经验的判断,提出了用单段和多段三次样条曲线来模拟展开流线,以及约束调控样条曲线的数学模型。对多段三次样条曲线模拟展开流线给出了非常具体的绘图及调控方法,具有较强的工程实用价值。     

TheEstimationofStemTaperCurvefromtheRadialInformationatThreeLocationsontheStem

该文探讨了不用编制削度表直接建立高精度立木干曲线的方法．当采用干曲线是３次多项式时，通常根据１０分法测定树干各部位直径，用最小二乘法求出该方程式的参数．从数学角度，只要知道树干任意３个部位的直径，就可以用最小二乘法或联立方程式求解干曲线参数．本文以樟子松为例，探讨用树干哪３个部位直径拟合的干曲线最接近实际干曲线，为建立立木干曲线提供有效方法．利用９个部位半径（方法Ⅰ）和利用其中３个部位半径（方法Ⅱ，２８种组合）分别拟合干曲线，结果表明方法Ⅱ的６种半径组合的精度良好，其中的３种组合，（ｒ１．３，ｒ０．３，ｒ０．７），（ｒ１．３，ｒ０．４，ｒ０．７）和（ｒ１．３，ｒ０．４，ｒ０．８）是拟合现实干曲线的有效方法．     

长距离输油气管道的工作压力

工作压力是油气管道设计中的一个重要部分,它对管道的技术经济条件影响很大,如何确定它非常重要.列出世界上一些陆上油气管道的主要技术参数,进一步阐明了油气管道工作压力的特点,即输油管道工作压力决定着管道的建设投资;一般情况下,输油管道的工作压力不宜太高;输气管道的最佳工作压力与管道建设投资及输气经营费用有关;一般情况下,最佳工作压力趋向高值.     

基于Hough变换识别单周期正弦曲线图像的算法及实现

手工识别成像测井中的裂缝具有一定的主观性，不同的人可能会有不同的解释结果．作者介绍利用Hough变换自动识别裂缝的原理及其算法，并通过实例分析了其应用效果，结果表明，这种算法计算裂缝参数不仅精度可靠，还保证了裂缝参数拾取的唯一性，对实现井壁裂缝参数的完全自动解释有重要意义．     

番石榴果实发育的初步研究

以东山月拔和二十一世纪这2个品种为试材，研究了番石榴（Psidium guajava L)果实的发育动态规律。结果表明：番石榴的果实发育呈现双“S”型；果实重量和果核重量的发育呈显著的正相关；推测果实发育后期为进行果实产期调控的关键时期；建议以果实发育的直径大小以及果实转蒂下垂作为确定进行产期调控的田间依据。     

实时荧光定量PCR构建绵羊PrP基因标准品质粒和标准曲线

羊痒病是一种传染性的致死性神经退行性疾病,常引起绵羊和山羊发病,该病在欧洲流行了大约250年,但是它的流行病学和传播机制还不是很清楚.正常的朊蛋白（PrPc）不能引起神经退行性病变,虽然目前已经对许多组织的PrP mRNA进行了检测,但是对它的生物学功能还知之甚少,对PrP基因表达的机制尚不清楚.研究显示,不同组织来源的细胞中朊蛋白的表达程度差异很大,主要出现于神经细胞中.PrPc在细胞中的高水平表达可促使PrPc向PrPsc转变,目前的研究中,对绵羊PrP mRNA的转录机制尚未阐释清楚.因此,对绵羊外周和中枢系统PrP mRNA的表达进行定量,有助于探讨各组织器官中的PrP在羊痒病的发生过程中的作用.     

Finding best exotic breed proportion in crossbred lactating sheep kept under farmers’ conditions in Ethiopia determined by use of nested Legendre polynomials with limited data

ABSTRACT

The present study was conducted to estimate milk production performance and fit lactation curves for groups of ewes of Local and of Awassi crosses, with a variable blood level, reared under farmer’s environment. The Weigh-Suckle-Weigh method plus hand milking was used to estimate milk yield for ewes. A total of 466 observations from 115 ewes were used. Estimated least-squares adjusted means for the milk production over 120 days were 0.56?kg day^?1 (Local), 0.67 (<30% Awassi), 0.86 (30–50% Awassi), and 0.96 (>50% Awassi). Groups with 30–50% Awassi and >50% Awassi ewes produced significantly (p?<?0.05) more milk than Local ewes. Significant differences were observed between <30% Awassi and >50% Awassi crossbred groups. The best crosses (>50% Awassi) produced over 70% more milk than the local ewes which demonstrates the potential that exists in increasing milk production through the initiated crossbreeding programme with sheep in Ethiopia.