Hydrological and water cycle processes of inland river basins in the arid region of Northwest China

The increasing shortage in water resources is a key factor affecting sustainable socio-economic development in the arid region of Northwest China(ARNC). Water shortages also affect the stability of the region's oasis ecosystem. This paper summarizes the hydrological processes and water cycle of inland river basins in the ARNC, focusing on the following aspects: the spatial-temporal features of water resources(including air water vapor resources, runoff, and glacial meltwater) and their driving forces; the characteristics of streamflow composition in the inland river basins; the characteristics and main controlling factors of baseflow in the inland rivers; and anticipated future changes in hydrological processes and water resources. The results indicate that:(1) although the runoff in most inland rivers in the ARNC showed a significant increasing trend, both the glaciated area and glacial ice reserves have been reduced in the mountains;(2) snow melt and glacier melt are extremely important hydrological processes in the ARNC, especially in the Kunlun and Tianshan mountains;(3) baseflow in the inland rivers of the ARNC is the result of climate change and human activities, with the main driving factors being the reduction in forest area and the over-exploitation and utilization of groundwater in the river basins; and(4) the contradictions among water resources, ecology and economy will further increase in the future. The findings of this study might also help strengthen the ecological, economic and social sustainable development in the study region.     

基于SWAT模型的开都河流域径流模拟

在遥感和GIS技术支持下,应用SWAT(Soil and Water Assessment Tool)分布式模型对开都河流域1988-2009年逐月径流进行模拟。结果表明:模拟结果与实测径流较吻合,校准期(1990-2000年)效率系数为0.58,平均相对误差为-5.7%,线性拟合度为0.8,验证期(2000-2009年)的结果与校准期接近,均达到了模型的评价标准,结果具有一定的可信度,SWAT模型适用于开都河流域的径流模拟;季节性融雪是研究区径流形成的重要组成,结合研究区的特性,确定了研究区的各项积雪/融雪参数,提高了冬春季节径流模拟的准确性。     

中国干旱区浅层地下水的形成、分布与运移

地球陆地浅层地下水的形成过程是大气降水、地表水与地下水相互转化的过程.主要依赖山区河流出山口径流维系生存和发展的中国干旱区,浅层地下水的形成过程完全不同于我国东部湿润区和青藏高寒区.研究表明:中国干旱区山地地下水以降水(雪冰融水)入渗补给为主,且最终转变为地表水补给河流,并参与平原盆地浅层地下水的形成过程;而盆地平原浅...     

基于环境同位素的陇东盆地地下水分析

目前同位素技术在水文水资源领域应用非常广泛,也取得了较大的成果,研究地下水同位素对于有效开发利用水资源和预测地下水环境的变化具有重要的意义.根据陇东盆地同位素测试结果,分析盆地地下水同位素分布特征,追溯地下水的来源及运移过程.结果发现:陇东盆地地下水均来源于大气降水,地下水循环具有浅层循环与深层循环两种模式.浅层地下水积极参与现代水循环,可更新能力较强,地貌对地下水径流控制作用明显.深层地下水为古地质时期补给形成的,水交替径流缓慢,可更新能力弱,地下水径流受地质构造控制,从向斜两翼向核部汇集在盆地中部排泄于河流基准排泄面.     

石羊河中下游河岸带植被对地下水位变化的响应

通过对石羊河中下游河岸带的地下水位定位观测及植被和土壤水盐含量调查发现：河岸带地下水位与河床横向间距呈正相关;在长流水河段的河岸带,以植被类型、物种丰富度和植被盖度与河床间距的关系,判断河流影响地下水位距河床的范围约为130 m,但对于河岸带植被作用距河床横向间距可达500 m。在断流河段,距古河床0~200 m区间内分布河岸植物种。虽然石羊河下游断流,但河流地貌影响地下水位,有利于植物生长。调查区域内有5个植被型,12个群系和29个群丛,河岸带发育隐域植被类型。当地下水位≤2 m时,沼泽草甸发育;当地下水位3~6 m时,以芦苇、赖草和骆驼蓬为建群种的盐化草甸发育;地下水位≤14 m时,则柽柳灌丛繁茂。石羊河的径流量丰欠影响河岸带地下水位变化,河岸带植被组成、结构和分布响应地下水位埋深。
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SWAT模型及SUFI-2算法在秃尾河上游流域径流模拟中的应用

通过构建处于干旱和半干旱地区的秃尾河流域(上游)的水文、气象、土地利用土壤等数据库,利用基于分布式的SWAT模型对该流域的水文过程和产流机制进行模拟,并通过改进的SUFI-2算法对模型参数进行不确定分析、率定和验证,探讨SWAT模型在于旱和半干旱流域的适应性.采用1977-1983年的月径流实测数据进行模型率定,用1984-1989年的月径流数据进行模型验证.验证结果表明:该研究流域年径流相关系数(R2)和模型效应系数(Ens)均小于0.6(通常认为当模拟结果期望值大于0.6时,模型能比较准确地描述了研究流域的水文过程);月径流相关系数和模型效应系数超过或者接近0.6的水平;汛期(5-10月)模型径流相关系数和效应系数最高(超过或接近0.8).研究表明通过改进的SWAT-SUFI模型能较好地模拟研究流域的汛期径流,而对全年径流和枯水期的径流模拟不够理想.     

Hydrochemical characteristics and evolution of groundwater in the dried-up river oasis of the Tarim Basin,Central Asia

Intense human activities in arid areas have great impacts on groundwater hydrochemical cycling by causing groundwater salinization. The spatiotemporal distributions of groundwater hydrochemistry are crucial for studying groundwater salt migration, and also vital to understand hydrological and hydrogeochemical processes of groundwater in arid inland oasis areas. However, due to constraints posed by the paucity of observation data and intense human activities, these processes are not well known in the dried-up river oases of arid areas. Here, we examined spatiotemporal variations and evolution of groundwater hydrochemistry using data from 199 water samples collected in the Wei-Ku Oasis, a typical arid inland oasis in Tarim Basin of Central Asia. As findings, groundwater hydrochemistry showed a spatiotemporal dynamic, while its spatial distribution was complex. TDS and δ¹⁸O of river water in the upstream increased from west to east, whereas ion concentrations of shallow groundwater increased from northwest to southeast. Higher TDS was detected in spring for shallow groundwater and in summer for middle groundwater. Pronounced spatiotemporal heterogeneity demonstrated the impacts of geogenic, climatic, and anthropogenic conditions. For that, hydrochemical evolution of phreatic groundwater was primarily controlled by rock dominance and evaporation-crystallization process. Agricultural irrigation and drainage, land cover change, and groundwater extraction reshaped the spatiotemporal patterns of groundwater hydrochemistry. Groundwater overexploitation altered the leaking direction between the aquifers, causing the interaction between saltwater and freshwater and the deterioration of groundwater environment. These findings could provide an insight into groundwater salt migration under human activities, and hence be significant in groundwater quality management in arid inland oasis areas.     

Adaptability of machine learning methods and hydrological models to discharge simulations in datasparse glaciated watersheds

The accurate simulation and prediction of runoff in alpine glaciated watersheds is of increasing importance for the comprehensive management and utilization of water resources. In this study, long shortterm memory(LSTM), a state-of-the-art artificial neural network algorithm, is applied to simulate the daily discharge of two data-sparse glaciated watersheds in the Tianshan Mountains in Central Asia. Two other classic machine learning methods, namely extreme gradient boosting(XGBoost) and support vector regression(SVR), along with a distributed hydrological model(Soil and Water Assessment Tool(SWAT) and an extended SWAT model(SWAT_Glacier) are also employed for comparison. This paper aims to provide an efficient and reliable method for simulating discharge in glaciated alpine regions that have insufficient observed meteorological data. The two typical basins in this study are the main tributaries(the Kumaric and Toxkan rivers) of the Aksu River in the south Tianshan Mountains, which are dominated by snow and glacier meltwater and precipitation. Our comparative analysis indicates that simulations from the LSTM shows the best agreement with the observations. The performance metrics Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency coefficient(NS) and correlation coefficient(R~2) of LSTM are higher than 0.90 in both the training and testing periods in the Kumaric River Basin, and NS and R~2 are also higher than 0.70 in the Toxkan River Basin. Compared to classic machine learning algorithms, LSTM shows significant advantages over most evaluating indices. XGBoost also has high NS value in the training period, but is prone to overfitting the discharge. Compared with the widely used hydrological models, LSTM has advantages in predicting accuracy, despite having fewer data inputs. Moreover, LSTM only requires meteorological data rather than physical characteristics of underlying data. As an extension of SWAT, the SWAT_Glacier model shows good adaptability in discharge simulation, outperforming the original SWAT model, but at the cost of increasing the complexity of the model. Compared with the oftentimes complex semi-distributed physical hydrological models, the LSTM method not only eliminates the tedious calibration process of hydrological parameters, but also significantly reduces the calculation time and costs. Overall, LSTM shows immense promise in dealing with scarce meteorological data in glaciated catchments.     

1976-2009年青藏高原内陆湖泊变化的时空格局与过程

为了揭示近几十年来气候变化条件下青藏高原内陆现代湖泊的时空变化规律,在1976年、1990年、2000年和 2009年4个时段青藏高原内陆湖泊变化制图结果的基础上,重点分析流域内湖泊变化的时间过程和流域间湖泊变化的空间模式,并从气候要素变化、流域水源补给等方面探讨影响内陆湖泊变化的主要因素。结果表明：流域内湖泊总面积1970-1990年萎缩、1990-2009年扩张,1976-2009年呈现扩张的变化趋势,年均降水量和年均气温的变化趋势较好地解释了湖泊由萎缩到扩张的变化状况。从湖泊变化的空间格局来看,不同地域、不同流域的湖泊面积变化模式及其剧烈程度与流域内的水源补给方式有关,以雪冰融水补给的流域内湖泊总面积变化的剧烈程度远不及以冻融水补给为主的流域。因此,区域气候的变化是近几十年来高原内陆湖泊整体显著萎缩或扩张的主要原因,而流域水源补给的方式诠释了湖泊变化的区域差异。     

Integrating water use systems and soil and water conservation measures into a hydrological model of an Iranian Wadi system

Water resources are precious in arid and semi-arid areas such as the Wadis of Iran. To sustainably manage these limited water resources, the residents of the Iranian Wadis have been traditionally using several water use systems (WUSs) which affect natural hydrological processes. In this study, WUSs and soil and water conservation measures (SWCMs) were integrated in a hydrological model of the Halilrood Basin in Iran. The Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model was used to simulate the hydrological processes between 1993 and 2009 at daily time scale. To assess the importance of WUSs and SWCMs, we compared a model setup without WUSs and SWCMs (Default model) with a model setup with WUSs and SWCMs (WUS-SWCM model). When compared to the observed daily stream flow, the number of acceptable calibration runs as defined by the performance thresholds (Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE)≥0.68, -25%≤percent bias (PBIAS)≤25% and ratio of standard deviation (RSR)≤0.56) is 177 for the Default model and 1945 for the WUS-SWCM model. Also, the average Kling-Gupta ef?ciency (KGE) of acceptable calibration runs for the WUS-SWCM model is higher in both calibration and validation periods. When WUSs and SWCMs are implemented, surface runoff (between 30% and 99%) and water yield (between 0 and 18%) decreased in all sub-basins. Moreover, SWCMs lead to a higher contribution of groundwater flow to the channel and compensate for the extracted water by WUSs from the shallow aquifer. In summary, implementing WUSs and SWCMs in the SWAT model enhances model plausibility significantly.     

基于小波变换和GRNN神经网络的径流模型在雅砻江流域中的应用

对雅砻江甘孜站控制流域月降水量和气温做 Harr小波变换 ,并作为 GRNN神经网络的输入 ,对雅砻江甘孜站径流进行模拟和预测验证 ,效果较好。但该模型对气温变化不敏感。故应用不引进小波变换的 GRNN神经网络模型 ,并采用全球变化成果 ,在不同的气候情景下 ,对甘孜站径流进行预测。结果表明 ,在未来一段时间内 ,甘孜站径流量会有一定程度的增加。径流量对气温的响应不同于西北内陆河流域 ,原因是该流域月径流量随气温的升高而增加。可利用该模拟对甘孜站径流进行反延或预测 ,并利用甘孜、温波二站径流量关系 ,计算温波站径流量 ,为南水北调工程径流设计服务     

渭河陕西"二华"段浅层地下水水化学特征

渭河流经陕西华阴、华县(二华)段,通过对"二华"地区浅层地下水取样分析,系统研究其地下水化学成分的空间变化及演变规律.结果表明:"二华"地区浅层地下水主要接受秦岭山前地下水的补给,靠近渭河沿岸地区,接受渭河的侧向补给.地下水的补给、径流、排泄区水化学类型主要从HCO3·S04-Ca·Mg经S04·HC03-Na·Ca过...     

开都河源区径流变化的气候响应

气候变化下的山区径流时空变异特征是干旱区水文水资源研究的热点之一。本研究选择天山南坡开都河流域源区为典型研究区,基于1958-2017年大山口水文站和巴音布鲁克水文站径流数据,及巴音布鲁克气象观测数据,采用TFPW-MK趋势检验、小波分析与小波相干等方法分析径流序列的趋势、突变和周期特征及其对气候变化的响应。结果表明:近60 a来,开都河源区径流、降水、气温呈显著增加趋势,并且径流量、降水量与最高气温的增率在加快,而平均气温与最低气温的增率减缓;径流量、降水与平均气温的突变年份集中在20世纪90年代,并且均存在28 a的周期;夏季径流量增加主要受夏季升温的影响,而早春径流量增加主要与冬季降水增加、早春升温有关;在年尺度上,降水是影响开都河径流变化的主要因素,气温主要以积温形式影响着径流的变化;在月尺度上,积温与降水均与径流呈显著正相关关系,且源区上游径流较下游径流对气温变化更为敏感。     

Exposure risk assessment and evaluation of the best management practice for controlling pesticide runoff from paddy fields. Part 1: Paddy watershed monitoring

Rice pesticide concentrations in surface water along with hydrological balance and water management conditions were investigated in a paddy watershed of about 100 ha at the Sakura river basin in Tsukuba, Japan, for 3 years from April 2002. Monitoring on different hydrological scales ranging from a paddy plot up to a watershed determined the importance of water management associated with rainfall events and the cyclic irrigation for reducing pesticide discharge into aquatic environments. Surface drainage significantly increased as a response to rainfall events greater than about 1.5 cm day(-1). A total of 16 herbicides were detected in the stream water and their peak concentrations mostly occurred from early to mid-May following the pesticide application period. Two water management factors influencing the pesticide runoff from paddy fields were defined: excess water storage capacity (EWSC) and water holding period (WHP). Uncertainty analyses of pesticide discharge from a paddy plot for dymron (daimuron) and imazosulfuron (IMS) were performed using Monte Carlo simulation (MCS) with prescribed probability of rainfall and water management practice from observations over a period of 3 years. Application of an intermittent irrigation scheme with shallow water depth practice and high drainage gate to maintain the EWSC > 2 cm and increasing WHP from the current Japanese Agricultural Chemicals Regulation law of 3-4 days to at least 10 days were recommended for reducing the pesticide runoff from paddy fields in a monsoon region such as in Japan. The combination of good water management in field plots and small-scale water cycling is the best management practice for controlling pesticide discharge from paddy watersheds.     

河西走廊3大内陆河近51年出山径流分布特征

以河西走廊疏勒河、黑河和石羊河1955～2005年时段的河流流量和气象实测数据为资料,应用多种数值诊断方法,系统分析了流域内51年间出山径流的季节及年际变化等.结果表明,走廊内出山径流的年内分配差异较大;三大河流的夏汛流量的峰值出现在同一时期,出山径流量自西向东疏勒河、黑河和石羊河分别占年总出山径流量的74.75%、75.04%和80.94%;径流的年际变化,平水年份最多,占总序列的38.56%,偏枯年大于偏丰年7.84%,说明出山径流量呈减少趋势;累积滤波器和Kendall秩次相关分析结果表明,年出山径流的变化趋势总体呈缓慢下降趋势,三大河流的年出山径流系列累积平均曲线在2005年趋于重合;Morlet分析结果预示未来径流量将处于相对偏少期.     

塔克拉玛干沙漠周围主要河流水文序列特性分析

本文在利用数理统计方法分析塔克拉玛干沙漠周围主要河流水文特征基础上，重点利用时间序列分析方法，从时间域和频率域上分别分析了这些河流序列内部结构特征，通过分析初步认为本区河流水量是基本稳定的，各河流的年径流序列基本呈独立随机序列。在此基础上建立了随机模拟模型，从而为模拟本区河流径流变化规律，以及本区水资源合理开发利用提供了决策分析基础。     

新疆奎屯河流域枯季径流频率分布选型与计算

枯水径流频率计算对于水资源评价、环境水利及工程水文分析有重要的现实意义。文中依据奎屯河流域三条主要河流1959-2006年48年径流序列资料,采用PPCC检验法对我国常用的5种水文频率分布线型进行检验,以选择适合奎屯河流域的最优线型。结果表明:奎屯河流域内三条最大的河流的代表性水文站最小月枯水序列和各时段枯水序列的枯水径流频率分布都是以P-Ⅲ型曲线最优,但流域内其它个别水文站也有以其它线型最优。最后对三条主要河流最小月和最小3个月枯水径流频率采用P-Ⅲ型曲线进行了计算,得出不同保证率的枯水径流。     

胶东半岛大沽河流域径流变化特征

大沽河是胶东半岛最大的河流,被称为青岛市的“母亲河”,近年来受气候变化与人类活动的共同影响,河川径流量急剧减少,河道断流形势严峻。基于1964-2008年大沽河3个水文站点（南村、产芝水库和尹府水库）的径流资料以及青岛气象站点的气象资料,初步探讨了大沽河流域径流的年际年内特征、变化趋势及其原因。结果表明：大沽河年径流存在明显的年代际特征,45 a间有一定下降趋势,特别是20世纪80年代以来,南村站河道常出现全年断流现象;3个水文站均于60年代初发生了突变,而且尹府水库站的年径流还存在显著的准4 a的变化周期;南村站径流的季节特征及变化趋势均比较显著,年径流量的89.8%集中在汛期,汛期径流量及各月径流（除8-9月）在45 a间均呈显著下降趋势,非汛期径流变化趋势虽不明显,但其径流量自80年代以来大多年份为0;相对而言,产芝水库和尹府水库站径流的季节差异及趋势相对较小;由基准期（1964-1980年）到变化期（1981-2008年）,降水变化与人类活动分别导致年径流量减少的比例为52.38%和47.62%,说明两者对径流的减少作用均比较显著,而且在全球气候变化的背景下,人类活动进一步加剧了径流的减少,并促使大沽河演变为季节性河流。     

基于GRID的流域动态水平衡模型研究

水量平衡研究是水资源评价、规划与管理的基础。以往的水平衡模型大多是基于流域、子流域,为了以网格为单元动态模拟水平衡过程,在本文中利用GIS工具建立了基于GRID的泾河流域动态水量平衡模型,该模型空间尺度为1km×1km网格,时间尺度为月。模型的率定是利用泾河流域马莲河把口水文站的1995至1997年逐月实测径流数据,由此获取了模型的主要参数。模型率定结果表明模拟径流曲线与实测径流曲线的变化趋势基本吻合,模拟值和监测值的中值绝对误差为6.72m3/s,相关系数为0.932。最后,将所建模型用于泾河流域逐月逐网格的降水、蒸发、土壤蓄水与地下蓄水,以及形成的径流总量的动态模拟。模拟结果表明泾河流域的径流量主要集中在流域南部与中部,流域北部径流相对较低,这与流域降水分布关系密切。泾河流域的土壤蓄水与地下蓄水量的分布类似,且与径流有一定相关性。该模型模拟精度较高,基本可以满足水资源评价、规划与管理的要求。     

Two-way coupling of unsaturated-saturated flow by integrating the SWAT and MODFLOW models with application in an irrigation district in arid region of West China

This paper presents the realization of two-way coupling of the unsaturated-saturated flow interactions of the SWAT2000 and MODFLOW96 models on the basis of the integrated surface/groundwater model SWATMOD99, and its application in Hetao Irrigation District (HID), Inner Mongolia, China. Major revisions and enhancements were made to the SWAT2000 and MODFLOW models for simulating the detailed hydrologic budget and coupled unsaturated and saturated interactions, and irrigation canal hydrology for the HID. The simulation results of seasonal groundwater recharge to and evaporate from the shallow groundwater, and the annual water budget over the district are presented and discussed. The results implied the necessity of two-way coupling of the unsaturated-saturated interactions when groundwater is shallow, and the feasibility of making comprehensive use of the information coming from both the surface water and groundwater models to make a more physically-based assessment of the coupled interactions.