2008下半年大豆牛市将延续

2008年的第二季度,CBOT大豆期价先盘整再突破。期价在4月初期展开为期近两个月横盘整理,对第一季度暴涨暴跌行情进行调整,美豆主力0807合约波动区间介于1250～1400美分／蒲式耳,进入6月份后,在美国农业部公布的6月供需报告利多、美国中西部产区天气恶劣背景影响下,CBOT大豆期价向上突破区间,向前期高点1595．75美分／蒲式耳位置挑战。CBOT豆粕0807合约期价也在6月份强劲上涨．达到405．9美元／短吨的高点。CBOT豆油0807合约亦震荡上扬,向前期高点71.3美分／蒲式耳冲击。     

政策驱动连豆或过“暖冬”

随着国产大豆收储完成，连豆期价政策底部基本尘埃落定，前期在美豆“空”气凝重压力下所上演的独立反弹行情能否延续？笔者认为，由于缺乏资金追捧，“昂首挺胸”走势或将逐渐向“匍匐前进”结构转移，大涨大跌行情可能难现，取而代之的将是底部重心缓慢上移的“暖冬”行情。而随着影响美豆市场利空因素的消散，CBOT大豆止跌回稳会向连豆市场传递“正能量”。并激励A1305合约蓄力上攻5000元／t的重要关口。     

豆粕月报:1月如期上涨 2月前期坚挺偏强后期仍看弱

正1月国内豆粕现货行情出现了适度上涨,美豆期货窄幅震荡重心缓慢上移。春节后美豆存在上涨可能性,但因全球大豆丰收预期不变,期价上方空间有限。而长线看,美豆中线反弹过后继续看弱。国内豆粕现货市场上,预计年后豆粕价格受提振,但随后行情将继续看弱。1市场概述1月,国内豆粕现货行情如2015年12月报告中预测的完全一致,出现了适度上涨行情,美豆期货窄幅震荡重心缓慢上移。虽然月初美豆出口较差且南美天气良好,导致美豆期     

美豆利空因素继续承压 豆粕反弹受限

国内豆粕市场在我国国庆长假前呈现下滑走势,国庆后出现反弹但受丰产压力影响遇挫。新收割的美国大豆产量较好以及美国农业部10月月度供需报告继续上调美国大豆单产量,或将致使CBOT大豆继续弱势调整。在过去2周里,美国大豆落叶率为83%,收割率为20%,生长优良率为73%。国内豆粕价格跟随CBOT大豆价格下滑后出现小幅反弹阶段,后市偏空氛围较浓。由于本周为国庆假期,饲料企业节后出现备货需求,油厂豆粕成交量较上周有所上涨。据统计,某些大型饲料企业豆粕库存约2~3周,小型企业约1~2周不等。期货行情:由于CBOT大豆持续下跌后国庆期间有所反弹,国内连盘豆粕合约跟随美豆下跌后有所     

天气对峙“空”气豆粕较难亢奋

7月份以来,大连豆粕市场曾随着美豆天气炒作的不断预热而一度发力,M1401期货合约最高触及3 328元/t.正当市场看涨预期高涨之际,天气题材却慢慢冷却,CBOT大豆盘面急速下挫再一次给多头主力泼了冷水.经过150～200元/t的大幅调整之后,期价下跌动能有所减弱,但美豆丰产预期如影随形,国内供应压力有效缓解和需求端口的阶段性炒作“空挡”依然是约束期价低位徘徊的关键力量,利空压制还将继续,传统的8月亢奋行情或难上演.     

南美减产和中美贸易摩擦推导豆粕价格攀升

正1美豆与国内豆粕行情回顾2018年年初国内豆粕跟随美豆调整,呈现偏强震荡反弹行情。春节长假过后国内豆粕随着美豆走势强劲上涨,期价快速突破3000整数关口,并优先站稳。3月份美国农业部月度供需报告中下调美豆出口数据,美豆结转库存高于市场预期,报告数据利空,导致美豆期价在报告公布后快速下跌,回吐前期天气炒作涨幅。但在3月底美国农业部公布的新年度种植意向报告和季度库存报告使得美豆期价再度恢复上     

大豆多头积蓄能量反弹一触即发

2005年春节后全球大豆在南美天气不利于大豆生长、美元指数大幅走低及美国投资基金在CBOT黄豆市场持续减持空单的情况下,CBOT黄豆演绎了一轮强势反弹上涨的行情（图1）,受CBOT黄豆上涨的推动,连豆期价也是步步升高（图2）.虽然当时的市场也面临着美国大豆高产量与高库存的压力,但由于当时现货支撑力度强,天气因素的利多,投资基金强有力的配合,CBOT黄豆价格一气呵成,于3月中旬创下691.4美分/蒲式耳第一反弹高点.     

豆类市场近强远弱油脂行情或弱势下探

<正>国内农产品市场均以弱势运行为主,粕类期货增仓下行、失守短期均线支撑,油脂板块窄幅震荡、尾盘再现跳水走势,豆油和菜油主力合约纷纷创出近期下跌行情新低。外盘方面,受助于技术性空头回补和美豆出口需求支撑,CBOT大豆期货在节日气氛中小幅收涨,美国农业部表示,民间出口商出口销售18.5万吨大豆至不知名目的地,但美豆油期价继续走低,与豆粕市场形成一定对比。近期,市场关注焦点在于南美大豆播种临近尾声后     

震荡寻方向意欲往何方--大豆一季度回顾及二季度展望

春节前后，由于全球大范围内出现禽流感疫情，对CBOT黄豆及国内的大豆现期两市场均产生了极为不利影响．加上南美大豆产区天气良好及国内豆粕消费处于淡季，由此终结了2005年12月的反弹上涨行情，廷续长期下跌趋势，期价再次进入震荡走低寻求支撑的通道（图1）。但通过以下分析．笔者对全球大豆市场第2季度的走势抱着乐观的态度．认为大豆价格震荡整理后将会出现反弹行情。     

豆粕月报:6月“二度”反弹 7月短期或上涨

<正>6月份国内豆粕行情呈现为:止跌上涨一滞涨下跌一小幅反弹的走势。7月豆粕现货价格重心适度上移,短线豆粕现货或追随盘面走势偏强整理为主。1市场概述6月美豆"二度"反弹,月底报告出台更是给弱势的豆粕带来了曙光。经历了5月的持续下跌后,美豆期价于6月初迎来技术性反弹,且天气炒作不断,引发市场担忧新作生长状况,刺激空头回补助推美豆期价上行,加之邻池小麦和玉米走强,提振美豆持续反弹。截至6月9     

Give a dog a genome

In 2004 the dog became only the fifth mammal to have its entire genome fully sequenced. The canine genome was sequenced in the hope that it would help scientists understand the complex evolutionary mechanisms that shape genes and genomes and provide a powerful tool for identifying genetic factors that contribute to human health and disease. It is expected that over the coming years the genome of man's best friend will help in the understanding of the genetic cause of many inherited diseases that humans and dogs have in common. Not only of obvious benefit to humans, these studies will enable the development of DNA diagnostic tests that breeders can use to identify which of their dogs carry mutations that put them at risk of developing particular conditions and thus, over time, eliminate those diseases from the breed.     

Leiomyoma of a kidney in a dog: a rare diagnosis

A five-year-old, neutered male, Bernese Mountain Dog was referred because of a two-week history of hematuria and a one-week history of polydipsia and polyuria. Palpation of the dorsomedial mesogastrium revealed a mass on the left side, which was seen via radiography and ultrasonography to be attached to the left kidney. The left kidney and the attached mass were excised surgically, and the dog had an uneventful recovery. Histological examination of the mass revealed a dense proliferation of non-polymorphic spindle cells, which stained positive for smooth muscle actin via immunohistochemistry. Leiomyoma of the kidney was diagnosed. Postoperatively, there was mild azotaemia, which did not affect the general condition of the dog and was still present 15 months after surgery. Leiomyoma of the kidney is a benign tumor, and hematuria may be the only clinical sign.     

Building a practice with a computer

It should be emphasized that the primary function of the computer is information-handling and communication. It remembers who and when and why, organizes the information, and then communicates by reminders, letters, labels, word processing, and statements. The computer becomes a faithful employee, not altogether immune from physical illness but generally ready to work at the flip of a switch. Best of all, the computer never asks for overtime or a percentage of the profits.