| 互联网技术发展对我国农业经济结构影响实证分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 邓志英,黄毅,方威,熊曦.互联网技术发展对我国农业经济结构影响实证分析[J].南方农业学报,2021,52(5):1422-1428. |
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| 作者姓名： | 邓志英 黄毅 方威 熊曦 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 湖南工程学院经济学院, 湖南湘潭 411104;2. 湖南工程学院管理学院, 湖南湘潭 411104;3. 中南林业科技大学商学院, 长沙 410004 |
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| 基金项目： | 湖南省自然科学基金面上项目（2019JJ40058）；湖南省社会科学成果评审委员会项目（XSP19YBC036） |
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| 摘 要： | 【目的】研究互联网技术发展与我国农业经济结构变化间的关系，为优化农业经济结构及实现我国农业高质量协调发展提供理论依据。【方法】基于2001—2018年我国30个省份（不含西藏及港澳台地区）的面板数据，将农业经济结构细分为狭义农业经济结构和广义农业经济结构，以互联网普及率指标表示互联网技术发展构建面板回归模型，探究互联网技术发展与我国农业经济结构变化的关系，并分析其对我国农业经济结构变化的影响。【结果】截至2018年底，我国30个省份互联网普及率为56.37%，是2001年的14倍，但互联网普及率存在不均衡现象，在沿海发达地区普及率最高的省份为78.00%，而西部地区普及率最高的省份不到50.00%。林业、牧业、渔业产值占农业总产值的比例为47.63%，是2001年的2.5倍，农业经济结构得到优化。相对于狭义农业经济结构，互联网普及率提高1%，经济作物种植比例提高0.33%，而移动互联网普及率提高1.00%，经济作物种植比例提高约0.60%；相对于广义农业经济结构，互联网普及率提高1%，林业、牧业、渔业产值所占比例提高0.04%，而移动互联网普及率提高1%，林业、牧业、渔业产值所占比例比例约提高0.10%。对农业经济结构影响而言，互联网普及率与物流水平适配性呈递增规律，且适配性对狭义农业经济结构的影响更明显。另外，财政支农对经济作物种植的影响是负向，表明财政支农政策在保障粮食作物种植方面起到积极作用；同时从事农业种植的人力资本平均受教育水平仍然偏低。【建议】积极推动互联网技术与农业发展的深度融合，为农业生产和经济结构调整提供精准服务；加强农村基础设施建设，提高农村物流能力与互联网技术间的适配性；提高互联网技术在农业生产销售等环节应用中的人力资本投入。
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| 关 键 词： | 农业经济结构 互联网技术 技术进步 互联网普及率 物流水平 适配性 |
| 收稿时间： | 2021-01-04 |
An empirical study on the impact of internet technology development on agricultural economic structure in China |
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| DENG Zhi-ying,HUANG Yi,FANG Wei,XIONG Xi.An empirical study on the impact of internet technology development on agricultural economic structure in China[J].Journal of Southern Agriculture,2021,52(5):1422-1428. |
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| Authors: | DENG Zhi-ying HUANG Yi FANG Wei XIONG Xi |
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| Affiliation: | 1. School of Economics, Hunan Institute of Engineering, Xiangtan, Hunan 411104, China;2. Management School, Hunan Institute of Engineering, Xiangtan, Hunan 411104, China;3. Business School, Central South University of Forestry and Technology, Changsha 410004, China |
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| Abstract: | 【Objective】This paper studied the relationship between the development of internet technology and the change of agricultural economic structure in China, and provided theoretical basis for optimizing agricultural economic structure and realizing high-quality coordinated development of agriculture in China.【Method】Based on the panel data of 30 provinces(excluding Tibet, Hong Kong, Macao and Taiwan) in China from 2001 to 2018, the agricultural economic structure was subdivided into narrow agricultural economic structure and broad agricultural economic structure, and the panel regression model was constructed on the basis of internet penetration index indicating the development of internet technology, probing into the relationship between the development of internet technology and the change of agricultural economic structure in China, analyzing its influence on the change of agricultural economic structure in China.【Result】The study found that by 2018, China's internet penetration rate was 56.37%, 14 times as that of 2001, but the internet penetration rate was uneven, with the highest penetration rate of 78.00% in the coastal developed areas and less than 0.00% in the western regions. The proportion of forestry, animal husbandry and fishery output value to the total agricultural output value was about 47.63%, 2.5 times as that of 2001;the agricultural economic structure was optimized. In terms of narrow agricultural economic structure, when internet penetration increased by 1%, cash crop proportion increased by 0.33%, when mobile internet penetration increased by 1%, cash crop increased by about 0.60%. In terms of broad agricultural economic structure, when internet penetration increased by 1%, the proportion of forest, animal husbandry and fishery increased by 0.04%, when mobile internet increased by 1% and that of forest, animal husbandry and fishery increased by 0.10%. For the impact of agricultural economic structure, the internet penetration rate and the level of compatibility was increasing, and the impact of compatibility on the narrow sense of agricultural economic structure was more obvious. In addition, the impact of financial support to agriculture on cash crop was negative, which indicated that the financial support to agriculture policy has played a positive role in ensuring the cultivation of food crops, and the average level of human capital in agricultural cultivation was still low.【Suggestion】Internet technology and agricultural development should be actively integrated to provide accurate services for agricultural production and economic restructuring;rural infrastructure construction should be strengthened to improve the compatibility between rural logistics capacity and internet technology;the investment of human capital in the application of internet technology in agricultural production and marketing should be increased. |
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