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中国农学通报

中国农学通报 ›› 2010, Vol. 26 ›› Issue (1): 317-320.

所属专题： 现代农业发展与乡村振兴

• 三农研究 • 上一篇    下一篇

西藏自治区农村居民人均纯收入发展趋势的灰色GM(1,1)模型及因素分析

达瓦,达红旗   

  • 收稿日期:2009-08-13 修回日期:2009-08-24 出版日期:2010-01-05 发布日期:2010-01-05

Tibet Autonomous Region, the per capita net income of rural residents trends Gray GM(1,1) model and factor analysis

  • Received:2009-08-13 Revised:2009-08-24 Online:2010-01-05 Published:2010-01-05

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摘要：

以近6年西藏自治区农村居民人均收入为研究对象，应用灰色系统建立了人均纯收入发展趋势的灰色GM(1,1)预测模型，运用关联度分析方法确定了反映农村居民不同收入来源的4项主要指标因素相对于纯收入的关联程度．分析得出：在未来5年中西藏农村居民人均收入平均年增长率达到24.695%，农村居民纯收入数量性状与4项指标之间关联度第一位的是第一产业收入，第二位的是第三产业收入，第三产业位居第四。

关键词: 循环利用, 循环利用, 棉花秸秆, 理论模式

Abstract:

Nearly 6 years per capita incomes of Tibet as the research object, the application of gray system, the establishment of a development trend of per capita net income of gray GM(1,1) model, the use of correlation analysis identified four factors related to the level of net income. Analysis: in the next 5 years, Tibet's per capita income of rural residents reached 24.695 percent average annual growth rate, net income of rural residents and the four indicators of a correlation between the income of the primary industry, the second is income of the tertiary industry, the tertiary industry the fourth largest.